IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/energy/v236y2021ics0360544221015826.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Sustainable economic growth and export diversification potential for Asian LNG-exporting countries: LNG–petrochemical nexus development using product space model

Author

Listed:
  • Ali Shah, Syed Fahad
  • Qyyum, Muhammad Abdul
  • Qadeer, Kinza
  • Lee, Moonyong

Abstract

Asian liquefied natural gas (LNG)-exporting countries have large natural gas reserves with a combined LNG export share value of 58% globally. Nevertheless, their global share in petrochemical exports is merely 2.2%. Among the selected countries, Indonesia and Malaysia have exploited 39% and 17% of the products in their petrochemical sectors, but the UAE, Myanmar, Oman, Qatar, and Brunei have exploited only 2%–10%. The significant potential for these countries with regard to exploiting these petrochemical products to scale up their export diversification, in turn leads to sustainable economic growth. The primary reason for their low global share is insufficient knowledge concerning their production capacity, as well as the sector's feasibility and potential with respect to their capabilities. This study thoroughly investigates the export diversification potential and opportunities for Asian LNG-exporting countries by exploring the nexus between LNG and petrochemicals using a product space model (PSM). The results indicate that production of unexploited petrochemicals is imminent in Indonesia and Malaysia, while the UAE, Myanmar, and Oman have moderate opportunities for exploration. These findings can assist policymakers in formulating realistic policies in accordance with their country's capabilities. It will also assist entrepreneurs in identifying potential sectors for establishing new enterprises.

Suggested Citation

  • Ali Shah, Syed Fahad & Qyyum, Muhammad Abdul & Qadeer, Kinza & Lee, Moonyong, 2021. "Sustainable economic growth and export diversification potential for Asian LNG-exporting countries: LNG–petrochemical nexus development using product space model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:236:y:2021:i:c:s0360544221015826
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2021.121334
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544221015826
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.energy.2021.121334?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Martin Grancay & Nora Grancay & Tomas Dudas, 2015. "What You Export Matters: Does It Really?," Contemporary Economics, University of Economics and Human Sciences in Warsaw., vol. 9(2), June.
    2. Ricardo Hausmann & Jason Hwang & Dani Rodrik, 2007. "What you export matters," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 12(1), pages 1-25, March.
    3. Ren, Siyu & Hao, Yu & Xu, Lu & Wu, Haitao & Ba, Ning, 2021. "Digitalization and energy: How does internet development affect China's energy consumption?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    4. Jesus Felipe & Utsav Kumar & Arnelyn Abdon, 2014. "As You Sow So Shall You Reap: From Capabilities to Opportunities," Oxford Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(4), pages 488-515, December.
    5. Sesini, Marzia & Giarola, Sara & Hawkes, Adam D., 2020. "The impact of liquefied natural gas and storage on the EU natural gas infrastructure resilience," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
    6. Lin, Boqiang & Li, Zhensheng, 2020. "Analysis of the natural gas demand and subsidy in China: A multi-sectoral perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
    7. repec:idb:brikps:publication-detail,7101.html?id=20621 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Qyyum, Muhammad Abdul & Dickson, Rofice & Ali Shah, Syed Fahad & Niaz, Haider & Khan, Amin & Liu, J. Jay & Lee, Moonyong, 2021. "Availability, versatility, and viability of feedstocks for hydrogen production: Product space perspective," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    9. Galadima, Mukhtar Danladi & Aminu, Abubakar Wambai, 2020. "Nonlinear unit root and nonlinear causality in natural gas - economic growth nexus: Evidence from Nigeria," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 190(C).
    10. Qyyum, Muhammad Abdul & Duong, Pham Luu Trung & Minh, Le Quang & Lee, Sanggyu & Lee, Moonyong, 2019. "Dual mixed refrigerant LNG process: Uncertainty quantification and dimensional reduction sensitivity analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 250(C), pages 1446-1456.
    11. Cesar A. Hidalgo & Ricardo Hausmann, 2009. "The Building Blocks of Economic Complexity," Papers 0909.3890, arXiv.org.
    12. Geng, Jiang-Bo & Xu, Xiao-Yue & Ji, Qiang, 2020. "The time-frequency impacts of natural gas prices on US economic activity," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    13. Qyyum, Muhammad Abdul & Qadeer, Kinza & Minh, Le Quang & Haider, Junaid & Lee, Moonyong, 2019. "Nitrogen self-recuperation expansion-based process for offshore coproduction of liquefied natural gas, liquefied petroleum gas, and pentane plus," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C), pages 247-257.
    14. C. A. Hidalgo & B. Klinger & A. -L. Barabasi & R. Hausmann, 2007. "The Product Space Conditions the Development of Nations," Papers 0708.2090, arXiv.org.
    15. Hausmann, Ricardo & Klinger, Bailey, 2006. "Structural Transformation and Patterns of Comparative Advantage in the Product Space," Working Paper Series rwp06-041, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government.
    16. Hausmann, Ricardo & Klinger, Bailey, 2008. "Achieving Export-Led Growth in Colombia," Working Paper Series rwp08-063, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government.
    17. Algapani, Dalal E. & Qiao, Wei & Ricci, Marina & Bianchi, Davide & M. Wandera, Simon & Adani, Fabrizio & Dong, Renjie, 2019. "Bio-hydrogen and bio-methane production from food waste in a two-stage anaerobic digestion process with digestate recirculation," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 1108-1115.
    18. Becerra-Fernandez, Mauricio & Cosenz, Federico & Dyner, Isaac, 2020. "Modeling the natural gas supply chain for sustainable growth policy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    19. Fan, Weiyang & Hao, Yu, 2020. "An empirical research on the relationship amongst renewable energy consumption, economic growth and foreign direct investment in China," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 598-609.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Qyyum, Muhammad Abdul & Ali Shah, Syed Fahad & Qadeer, Kinza & Naquash, Ahmad & Yasin, Muhammad & Rehan, Mohammad & Tabatabaei, Meisam & Aghbashlo, Mortaza & Lee, Moonyong & Nizami, Abdul-Sattar, 2022. "Biowaste to bioenergy options for sustainable economic growth opportunities in developing countries: Product space model analysis and policy map development," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Qyyum, Muhammad Abdul & Ali Shah, Syed Fahad & Qadeer, Kinza & Naquash, Ahmad & Yasin, Muhammad & Rehan, Mohammad & Tabatabaei, Meisam & Aghbashlo, Mortaza & Lee, Moonyong & Nizami, Abdul-Sattar, 2022. "Biowaste to bioenergy options for sustainable economic growth opportunities in developing countries: Product space model analysis and policy map development," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
    2. Lofgren, Hans & Cicowiez, Martin, 2015. "Analyzing Country Strategies for Structural Transformation, Poverty Eradication and Shared Prosperity: Method and Application to an Archetype SSA Country," Conference papers 332592, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    3. González, Arturo & Ortigoza, Eduardo & Llamosas, Cecilia & Blanco, Gerardo & Amarilla, Raúl, 2019. "Multi-criteria analysis of economic complexity transition in emerging economies: The case of Paraguay," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    4. Naima Chrid & Sami Saafi & Mohamed Chakroun, 2021. "Export Upgrading and Economic Growth: a Panel Cointegration and Causality Analysis," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 12(2), pages 811-841, June.
    5. Lyubimov, Ivan L. (Любимов, Иван) & Gvozdeva, Margarita V. (Гвоздева, Маргарита) & Lysyuk, Maria A. (Лысюк, Мария), 2018. "Measuring Regional Development with the Network Theory Approach [Использование Теории Сетей При Составлении Рейтингов Развития Региональных Экономик]," Ekonomicheskaya Politika / Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, vol. 3, pages 206-233, June.
    6. Ferrarini, Benno & Scaramozzino, Pasquale, 2013. "Complexity, Specialization, and Growth," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 344, Asian Development Bank.
    7. Freire Junior, Clovis, 2017. "Promoting structural transformation: Strategic diversification vs laissez-faire approach," MERIT Working Papers 2017-037, United Nations University - Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (MERIT).
    8. Müller, Viktor Paul & Eichhammer, Wolfgang, 2023. "Economic complexity of green hydrogen production technologies - a trade data-based analysis of country-specific industrial preconditions," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
    9. Sandra Edith Medellín Mendoza & Miguel Alejandro Flores Segovia & Amado Villarreal González, 2017. "Análisis regional de sofisticación y centralidad de las exportaciones mexicanas. (Regional Analysis of Sophistication and Centrality of Mexican Exports)," Ensayos Revista de Economia, Universidad Autonoma de Nuevo Leon, Facultad de Economia, vol. 0(2), pages 147-184, October.
    10. World Bank, 2011. "Serbia - Country Economic Memorandum : The Road to Prosperity - Productivity and Exports, Volume 2. Main Report," World Bank Publications - Reports 2830, The World Bank Group.
    11. Arnelyn Abdon & Jesus Felipe, 2011. "The Product Space: What Does It Say About the Opportunities for Growth and Structural Transformation of Sub-Saharan Africa?," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_670, Levy Economics Institute.
    12. Antonios Garas & Sophie Guthmuller & Athanasios Lapatinas, 2021. "The development of nations conditions the disease space," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(1), pages 1-35, January.
    13. Wonsub Eum & Jeong‐Dong Lee, 2022. "Alternative paths of diversification for developing countries," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(4), pages 2336-2355, November.
    14. Bayudan-Dacuycuy, Connie & Lim, Joseph Anthony, 2014. "Export Sophistication and Export-Led Growth: An Analysis of the Export Basket of Selected East Asian Economies," MPRA Paper 64650, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Saurabh Mishra & Robert Koopman & Giuditta De-Prato & Anand Rao & Israel Osorio-Rodarte & Julie Kim & Nikola Spatafora & Keith Strier & Andrea Zaccaria, 2021. "AI Specialization for Pathways of Economic Diversification," Papers 2103.11042, arXiv.org.
    16. Güzin Bayar, 2022. "Turkey's sectoral exports: A competitiveness approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 2268-2289, April.
    17. Antonella Chiappelo & Alejandro Danón & Guillermina Marto & Nicolás Pinto, 2019. "Tell me what you export today and I will tell you what you will export tomorrow: The Product Space and the Evolution of Country pattern of specialization," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers 4171, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.
    18. Cesar A. Hidalgo, 2012. "Discovering East Africa's Industrial Opportunities," Papers 1203.0163, arXiv.org.
    19. Angelica Sbardella & Andrea Zaccaria & Luciano Pietronero & Pasquale Scaramozzino, 2021. "Behind the Italian Regional Divide: An Economic Fitness and Complexity Perspective," LEM Papers Series 2021/30, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
    20. El-Haddad, Amirah, 2018. "Exporting for growth: identifying leading sectors for Egypt and Tunisia using the Product Space Methodology," IDOS Discussion Papers 25/2018, German Institute of Development and Sustainability (IDOS).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:236:y:2021:i:c:s0360544221015826. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.