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A novel and effective nonlinear interpolation virtual sample generation method for enhancing energy prediction and analysis on small data problem: A case study of Ethylene industry

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  • He, Yan-Lin
  • Wang, Ping-Jiang
  • Zhang, Ming-Qing
  • Zhu, Qun-Xiong
  • Xu, Yuan

Abstract

An accurate energy prediction and optimization model plays a very important role in the petrochemical industries. Due to the imbalanced and uncompleted characteristics of complex petrochemical small data, it is a big challenge to build accurate prediction and optimization models for energy analysis. In order to solve this problem, a nonlinear interpolation virtual sample generation method integrated with extreme learning machine is proposed. Well virtual input and output variables can be generated through interpolation of the hidden layer outputs of extreme learning machine. The generated virtual samples are put together with the original samples to train models for enhancing accuracy performance. To validate the effectiveness of the proposed nonlinear interpolation virtual sample generation method, a standard function is firstly selected, and then the proposed nonlinear interpolation virtual sample generation method is applied to developing a model of energy analysis for ethylene production systems. Simulation results showed that the prediction accuracy could be significantly improved, which provided helpful guidance for production departments and government to achieve the goal of energy management of petrochemical industries.

Suggested Citation

  • He, Yan-Lin & Wang, Ping-Jiang & Zhang, Ming-Qing & Zhu, Qun-Xiong & Xu, Yuan, 2018. "A novel and effective nonlinear interpolation virtual sample generation method for enhancing energy prediction and analysis on small data problem: A case study of Ethylene industry," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 147(C), pages 418-427.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:147:y:2018:i:c:p:418-427
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2018.01.059
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    Cited by:

    1. Zhang, Xiao-Han & Zhu, Qun-Xiong & He, Yan-Lin & Xu, Yuan, 2018. "A novel robust ensemble model integrated extreme learning machine with multi-activation functions for energy modeling and analysis: Application to petrochemical industry," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 593-602.
    2. Pan, Yan & Jing, Yunteng & Wu, Tonghai & Kong, Xiangxing, 2022. "Knowledge-based data augmentation of small samples for oil condition prediction," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
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    4. Gong, Shixin & Shao, Cheng & Zhu, Li, 2019. "Multi-level and multi-granularity energy efficiency diagnosis scheme for ethylene production process," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 1151-1169.
    5. Wang, Zheng-Xin & He, Ling-Yang & Zheng, Hong-Hao, 2019. "Forecasting the residential solar energy consumption of the United States," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 610-623.
    6. Zhang, Xiao-Han & Zhu, Qun-Xiong & He, Yan-Lin & Xu, Yuan, 2018. "Energy modeling using an effective latent variable based functional link learning machine," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 883-891.
    7. Xu, Yuan & Zhang, Mingqing & Ye, Liangliang & Zhu, Qunxiong & Geng, Zhiqiang & He, Yan-Lin & Han, Yongming, 2018. "A novel prediction intervals method integrating an error & self-feedback extreme learning machine with particle swarm optimization for energy consumption robust prediction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 137-146.
    8. Zhiguo Wang & Lufei Huang & Cici Xiao He, 0. "A multi-objective and multi-period optimization model for urban healthcare waste’s reverse logistics network design," Journal of Combinatorial Optimization, Springer, vol. 0, pages 1-28.

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