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The scenario approach to possible futures for oil and natural gas

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  • Bentham, Jeremy

Abstract

Shell has been using scenario planning for 40 years to help deepen its strategic thinking. Developing and applying scenarios is part of an ongoing process in Shell that encourages decision-makers to explore the features, uncertainties, and boundaries of the future landscape, and engage with alternative points of view.

Suggested Citation

  • Bentham, Jeremy, 2014. "The scenario approach to possible futures for oil and natural gas," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 87-92.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:64:y:2014:i:c:p:87-92
    DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2013.08.019
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Weijermars, R. & Sun, Z., 2018. "Regression analysis of historic oil prices: A basis for future mean reversion price scenarios," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 177-201.
    2. Roland Broll & Gerald Blumberg & Christoph Weber, "undated". "Thesenpapier: Constructing Consistent Energy Scenarios using Cross Impact Matrices," EWL Working Papers 2005, University of Duisburg-Essen, Chair for Management Science and Energy Economics.
    3. Kraan, O. & Kramer, G.J. & Nikolic, I., 2018. "Investment in the future electricity system - An agent-based modelling approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 569-580.
    4. Nicholas J. Rowland & Matthew J. Spaniol, 2022. "The strategic conversation, 25 years later: A retrospective review of Kees van der Heijden's Scenarios: The Art of Strategic Conversation," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 4(1), March.
    5. Hafezi, Reza & Wood, David A. & Akhavan, Amir Naser & Pakseresht, Saeed, 2020. "Iran in the emerging global natural gas market: A scenario-based competitive analysis and policy assessment," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    6. Morgan Bazilian & Michael Bradshaw & Johannes Gabriel & Andreas Goldthau & Kirsten Westphal, 2020. "Four scenarios of the energy transition: Drivers, consequences, and implications for geopolitics," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 11(2), March.
    7. Tser-Yieth Chen & Chi-Jui Huang, 2019. "A Two-Tier Scenario Planning Model of Environmental Sustainability Policy in Taiwan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-21, April.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Shell; Scenarios; Energy;
    All these keywords.

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