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Trend of technology innovation in China's coal-fired electricity industry under resource and environmental constraints

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  • Yu, Fanxian
  • Chen, Jining
  • Sun, Fu
  • Zeng, Siyu
  • Wang, Can

Abstract

This research builds a technology-based bottom-up model to estimate the performance of China's coal-fired electricity industry on resource consumption and environmental emissions. From the integrated estimation of three scenarios characterizing different stages of technology innovation in 2007-2030, technology innovation is proven to be the determinant in decreasing resource use and environmental effects from electricity production, but analysis based on current policies reveals some doubt in achieving the coal consumption intensity control target. Constrained with national control targets, the best route of technology innovation is calculated by integrated benefit targeting optimization. Supercritical (SC) and ultra-supercritical (USC) pressure boilers, flue gas desulfurization (FGD) and closed-cycle wet cooling with a high circulation ratio will be the mainstream technologies before 2030 based on current policy. It is inevitable to close or reconstruct small power plants from the late 2010s, and integrated gasification combined cycle (IGCC) and pressurized fluidized bed combustion combined cycle (PFBC-CC) plants will show a competitive advantage in the late 2020s. However, air cooling and FGD systems will expand slower than the authorities' expectation, while higher water prices and SO2 charges promote the expansion. Stricter restrictions are also found to be positive for technological progress.

Suggested Citation

  • Yu, Fanxian & Chen, Jining & Sun, Fu & Zeng, Siyu & Wang, Can, 2011. "Trend of technology innovation in China's coal-fired electricity industry under resource and environmental constraints," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1586-1599, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:39:y:2011:i:3:p:1586-1599
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    15. Jiang, Suqin & Chen, Zun & Shan, Li & Chen, Xinyu & Wang, Haikun, 2017. "Committed CO2 emissions of China's coal-fired power generators from 1993 to 2013," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 295-302.
    16. Qin, Ying & Curmi, Elizabeth & Kopec, Grant M. & Allwood, Julian M. & Richards, Keith S., 2015. "China's energy-water nexus – assessment of the energy sector's compliance with the “3 Red Lines” industrial water policy," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 131-143.
    17. Kuramochi, Takeshi & Ramírez, Andrea & Turkenburg, Wim & Faaij, André, 2013. "Techno-economic prospects for CO2 capture from distributed energy systems," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 19(C), pages 328-347.
    18. Guangkui Liu & Xu Yang & Xisheng Yang & Kui Liang & Dong An & Di Wu & Xiaohan Ren, 2022. "Typical Damage Prediction and Reliability Analysis of Superheater Tubes in Power Station Boilers Based on Multisource Data Analysis," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-15, January.
    19. Lu Lin & Yongqin David Chen, 2017. "Evaluation of Future Water Use for Electricity Generation under Different Energy Development Scenarios in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-16, December.
    20. Zhu, Xiaojie & Guo, Ruipeng & Chen, Bin & Zhang, Jing & Hayat, Tasawar & Alsaedi, Ahmed, 2015. "Embodiment of virtual water of power generation in the electric power system in China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 345-354.
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    22. Li, Xian & Yang, Lili & Zheng, Heran & Shan, Yuli & Zhang, Zongyong & Song, Malin & Cai, Bofeng & Guan, Dabo, 2019. "City-level water-energy nexus in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C), pages 827-834.
    23. Li, Na & Zhang, Xiaoling & Shi, Minjun & Zhou, Shenglv, 2017. "The prospects of China’s long-term economic development and CO2 emissions under fossil fuel supply constraints," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 11-22.
    24. Sharifzadeh, Mahdi & Hien, Raymond Khoo Teck & Shah, Nilay, 2019. "China’s roadmap to low-carbon electricity and water: Disentangling greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from electricity-water nexus via renewable wind and solar power generation, and carbon capture and sto," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C), pages 31-42.

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