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Reevaluation of Turkey's hydropower potential and electric energy demand

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  • Yüksek, Ömer

Abstract

This paper deals with Turkey's hydropower potential and its long-term electric energy demand predictions. In the paper, at first, Turkey's energy sources are briefly reviewed. Then, hydropower potential is analyzed and it has been concluded that Turkey's annual economically feasible hydropower potential is about 188Â TWh, nearly 47% greater than the previous estimation figures of 128Â TWh. A review on previous prediction models for Turkey's long-term electric energy demand is presented. In order to predict the future demand, new increment ratio scenarios, which depend on both observed data and future predictions of population, energy consumption per capita and total energy consumption, are developed. The results of 11 prediction models are compared and analyzed. It is concluded that Turkey's annual electric energy demand predictions in 2010, 2015 and 2020 vary between 222 and 242 (average 233)Â TWh; 302 and 356 (average 334)Â TWh; and 440 and 514 (average 476)Â TWh, respectively. A discussion on the role of hydropower in meeting long-term demand is also included in the paper and it has been predicted that hydropower can meet 25-35% of Turkey's electric energy demand in 2020.

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  • Yüksek, Ömer, 2008. "Reevaluation of Turkey's hydropower potential and electric energy demand," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(9), pages 3374-3382, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:36:y:2008:i:9:p:3374-3382
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Akpınar, A. & Kaygusuz, K., 2012. "Regional sustainable water and energy development projects: A case of Southeastern Anatolia Project (GAP) in Turkey," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 1146-1156.
    2. Saysel, Ali Kerem & Hekimoğlu, Mustafa, 2013. "Exploring the options for carbon dioxide mitigation in Turkish electric power industry: System dynamics approach," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 675-686.
    3. Yuksel, Ibrahim, 2012. "Water development for hydroelectric in southeastern Anatolia project (GAP) in Turkey," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 17-23.
    4. Toklu, E., 2013. "Overview of potential and utilization of renewable energy sources in Turkey," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 456-463.
    5. Melikoglu, Mehmet, 2013. "Hydropower in Turkey: Analysis in the view of Vision 2023," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 503-510.
    6. Dursun, Bahtiyar & Alboyaci, Bora, 2010. "The contribution of wind-hydro pumped storage systems in meeting Turkey's electric energy demand," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 14(7), pages 1979-1988, September.
    7. Murat Kankal & Sinan Nacar & Ergun Uzlu, 2016. "Importance of hydropower for sustainable energy development in Turkey: Case of Çoruh River," Energy & Environment, , vol. 27(8), pages 905-918, December.

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