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Comparison of CO2 emission scenarios and mitigation opportunities in China's five sectors in 2020

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  • Cai, Wenjia
  • Wang, Can
  • Chen, Jining
  • Wang, Ke
  • Zhang, Ying
  • Lu, Xuedu

Abstract

This study has been created in order to better inform climate policy recommendations for China through the study of emissions reduction potential and mitigation opportunities in the major emission sectors in the country. The LEAP model along with three scenarios has been employed in this study. The study has projected that under all scenarios, China's emissions in major sectors will increase. However, through the current sustainable development strategy and even more aggressive emission reduction policies, an annual average of 201-486 million metric tons (MMT) of emissions could be reduced. The cost analysis shows that opportunities are available to achieve significant additional emission reductions at reasonable rates. Besides the results on mitigation opportunities in each sector, this research also explores sectoral preference when determining policies from different perspectives. This study concludes that China's "unilateral actions" since 2000 should be recognized and encouraged. If further emission reduction were required, sector-based mitigation policies would be a very good option and selecting proper policy-making perspective(s) and identifying the most cost-effective mitigation measures within sector and across sectors would be the key information needed to devise these policies.

Suggested Citation

  • Cai, Wenjia & Wang, Can & Chen, Jining & Wang, Ke & Zhang, Ying & Lu, Xuedu, 2008. "Comparison of CO2 emission scenarios and mitigation opportunities in China's five sectors in 2020," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 1181-1194, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:36:y:2008:i:3:p:1181-1194
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Cai, Wenjia & Wang, Can & Wang, Ke & Zhang, Ying & Chen, Jining, 2007. "Scenario analysis on CO2 emissions reduction potential in China's electricity sector," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(12), pages 6445-6456, December.
    2. Hans Asbjørn Aaheim & Kristin A. & Hans Seip, 1999. "Climate Change and Local Pollution Effects – An Integrated Approach," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 4(1), pages 61-81, March.
    3. He, Kebin & Huo, Hong & Zhang, Qiang & He, Dongquan & An, Feng & Wang, Michael & Walsh, Michael P., 2005. "Oil consumption and CO2 emissions in China's road transport: current status, future trends, and policy implications," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 33(12), pages 1499-1507, August.
    4. Aunan, Kristin & Fang, Jinghua & Vennemo, Haakon & Oye, Kenneth & Seip, Hans M., 2004. "Co-benefits of climate policy--lessons learned from a study in Shanxi, China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 567-581, March.
    5. Changhong, Chen & Bingyan, Wang & Qingyan, Fu & Green, Collin & Streets, David G., 2006. "Reductions in emissions of local air pollutants and co-benefits of Chinese energy policy: a Shanghai case study," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 34(6), pages 754-762, April.
    6. Wang, Ke & Wang, Can & Lu, Xuedu & Chen, Jining, 2007. "Scenario analysis on CO2 emissions reduction potential in China's iron and steel industry," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 2320-2335, April.
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