IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/enepol/v36y2008i10p3833-3837.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Prediction of monthly mean daily diffuse solar radiation using artificial neural networks and comparison with other empirical models

Author

Listed:
  • Jiang, Yingni

Abstract

An artificial neural network (ANN) model for estimating monthly mean daily diffuse solar radiation is presented in this paper. Solar radiation data from 9 stations having different climatic conditions all over China during 1995-2004 are used for training and testing the ANN. Solar radiation data from eight typical cities are used for training the neural networks and data from the remaining one location are used for testing the estimated values. Estimated values are compared with measured values in terms of mean percentage error (MPE), mean bias error (MBE) and root mean square error (RMSE). The results of the ANN model have been compared with other empirical regression models. The solar radiation estimations by ANN are in good agreement with the actual values and are superior to those of other available models. In addition, ANN model is tested to predict the same components for Zhengzhou station over the same period. Results indicate that ANN model predicts the actual values for Zhengzhou with a good accuracy of 94.81%. Data for Zhengzhou are not included as a part of ANN training set. Hence, these results demonstrate the generalization capability of this approach and its ability to produce accurate estimates in China.

Suggested Citation

  • Jiang, Yingni, 2008. "Prediction of monthly mean daily diffuse solar radiation using artificial neural networks and comparison with other empirical models," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(10), pages 3833-3837, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:36:y:2008:i:10:p:3833-3837
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301-4215(08)00313-3
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Elminir, Hamdy K., 2007. "Experimental and theoretical investigation of diffuse solar radiation: Data and models quality tested for Egyptian sites," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 73-82.
    2. Alam, Shah & Kaushik, S.C. & Garg, S.N., 2006. "Computation of beam solar radiation at normal incidence using artificial neural network," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 31(10), pages 1483-1491.
    3. Rehman, Shafiqur & Mohandes, Mohamed, 2008. "Artificial neural network estimation of global solar radiation using air temperature and relative humidity," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 571-576, February.
    4. Al-Alawi, S.M. & Al-Hinai, H.A., 1998. "An ANN-based approach for predicting global radiation in locations with no direct measurement instrumentation," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 14(1), pages 199-204.
    5. Sözen, Adnan & Arcaklioglu, Erol & Özalp, Mehmet & Kanit, E. Galip, 2004. "Use of artificial neural networks for mapping of solar potential in Turkey," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 77(3), pages 273-286, March.
    6. Elminir, Hamdy K. & Azzam, Yosry A. & Younes, Farag I., 2007. "Prediction of hourly and daily diffuse fraction using neural network, as compared to linear regression models," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 32(8), pages 1513-1523.
    7. Muneer, T. & Younes, S. & Munawwar, S., 2007. "Discourses on solar radiation modeling," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 11(4), pages 551-602, May.
    8. Bosch, J.L. & López, G. & Batlles, F.J., 2008. "Daily solar irradiation estimation over a mountainous area using artificial neural networks," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 33(7), pages 1622-1628.
    9. Dorvlo, Atsu S. S. & Jervase, Joseph A. & Al-Lawati, Ali, 2002. "Solar radiation estimation using artificial neural networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 71(4), pages 307-319, April.
    10. Alam, Shah, 2006. "Prediction of direct and global solar irradiance using broadband models: Validation of REST model," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 31(8), pages 1253-1263.
    11. Mohandes, M. & Rehman, S. & Halawani, T.O., 1998. "Estimation of global solar radiation using artificial neural networks," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 14(1), pages 179-184.
    12. Boland, John & Ridley, Barbara & Brown, Bruce, 2008. "Models of diffuse solar radiation," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 575-584.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Shubham Gupta & Amit Kumar Singh & Sachin Mishra & Pradeep Vishnuram & Nagaraju Dharavat & Narayanamoorthi Rajamanickam & Ch. Naga Sai Kalyan & Kareem M. AboRas & Naveen Kumar Sharma & Mohit Bajaj, 2023. "Estimation of Solar Radiation with Consideration of Terrestrial Losses at a Selected Location—A Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(13), pages 1-29, June.
    2. Linares-Rodríguez, Alvaro & Ruiz-Arias, José Antonio & Pozo-Vázquez, David & Tovar-Pescador, Joaquín, 2011. "Generation of synthetic daily global solar radiation data based on ERA-Interim reanalysis and artificial neural networks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(8), pages 5356-5365.
    3. Khatib, Tamer & Mohamed, Azah & Sopian, K., 2012. "A review of solar energy modeling techniques," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 16(5), pages 2864-2869.
    4. Zarzo, Manuel & Martí, Pau, 2011. "Modeling the variability of solar radiation data among weather stations by means of principal components analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(8), pages 2775-2784, August.
    5. Rodrigues, Eugénio & Gomes, Álvaro & Gaspar, Adélio Rodrigues & Henggeler Antunes, Carlos, 2018. "Estimation of renewable energy and built environment-related variables using neural networks – A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 959-988.
    6. Jabar H. Yousif & Hussein A. Kazem & John Boland, 2017. "Predictive Models for Photovoltaic Electricity Production in Hot Weather Conditions," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-19, July.
    7. Hejase, Hassan A.N. & Al-Shamisi, Maitha H. & Assi, Ali H., 2014. "Modeling of global horizontal irradiance in the United Arab Emirates with artificial neural networks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 542-552.
    8. Khalil, Samy A. & Shaffie, A.M., 2013. "A comparative study of total, direct and diffuse solar irradiance by using different models on horizontal and inclined surfaces for Cairo, Egypt," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 853-863.
    9. Dahmani, Kahina & Notton, Gilles & Voyant, Cyril & Dizene, Rabah & Nivet, Marie Laure & Paoli, Christophe & Tamas, Wani, 2016. "Multilayer Perceptron approach for estimating 5-min and hourly horizontal global irradiation from exogenous meteorological data in locations without solar measurements," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 267-282.
    10. Kisi, Ozgur, 2014. "Modeling solar radiation of Mediterranean region in Turkey by using fuzzy genetic approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 429-436.
    11. Khalil, Samy A. & Shaffie, A.M., 2016. "Evaluation of transposition models of solar irradiance over Egypt," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 105-119.
    12. Yadav, Amit Kumar & Malik, Hasmat & Chandel, S.S., 2014. "Selection of most relevant input parameters using WEKA for artificial neural network based solar radiation prediction models," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 509-519.
    13. Heo, Jae & Jung, Jaehoon & Kim, Byungil & Han, SangUk, 2020. "Digital elevation model-based convolutional neural network modeling for searching of high solar energy regions," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(C).
    14. Janjai, Serm & Plaon, Piyanuch, 2011. "Estimation of sky luminance in the tropics using artificial neural networks: Modeling and performance comparison with the CIE model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(3), pages 840-847, March.
    15. Kılıç, Fatih & Yılmaz, İbrahim Halil & Kaya, Özge, 2021. "Adaptive co-optimization of artificial neural networks using evolutionary algorithm for global radiation forecasting," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 176-190.
    16. Notton, Gilles & Paoli, Christophe & Ivanova, Liliana & Vasileva, Siyana & Nivet, Marie Laure, 2013. "Neural network approach to estimate 10-min solar global irradiation values on tilted planes," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 576-584.
    17. Notton, Gilles & Paoli, Christophe & Vasileva, Siyana & Nivet, Marie Laure & Canaletti, Jean-Louis & Cristofari, Christian, 2012. "Estimation of hourly global solar irradiation on tilted planes from horizontal one using artificial neural networks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 166-179.
    18. Jha, Sunil Kr. & Bilalovic, Jasmin & Jha, Anju & Patel, Nilesh & Zhang, Han, 2017. "Renewable energy: Present research and future scope of Artificial Intelligence," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 297-317.
    19. Aguiar, L. Mazorra & Pereira, B. & Lauret, P. & Díaz, F. & David, M., 2016. "Combining solar irradiance measurements, satellite-derived data and a numerical weather prediction model to improve intra-day solar forecasting," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 599-610.
    20. Almonacid, F. & Fernández, Eduardo F. & Rodrigo, P. & Pérez-Higueras, P.J. & Rus-Casas, C., 2013. "Estimating the maximum power of a High Concentrator Photovoltaic (HCPV) module using an Artificial Neural Network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 165-172.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:36:y:2008:i:10:p:3833-3837. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/enpol .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.