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The coming disruption: The movement towards the customer renewable energy transition

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  • Say, Kelvin
  • John, Michele
  • Dargaville, Roger
  • Wills, Raymond T.

Abstract

The technical and financial influences that shape customer investment in behind-the-meter PV and battery systems, provide the means to forecast and quantify customer energy transitions. By utilising techno-economic scenario analysis, this research assists policymakers to understand the impacts of their decisions on future energy market relationships between the customer and utilities. Two case studies are presented, firstly to evaluate the influence of annual increases in usage charges, and secondly the level of feed-in tariff compensation on customer PV and battery investment over a 15-year forecast period located in Perth, Australia. The findings indicate that even without annual increases in usage charges, the falling installation costs of PV and battery technologies will make customer PV-battery systems financially viable within the 15-year forecast period. Additionally, the removal of the feed-in tariff leads to greater reductions in eventual grid consumption. By the end of the forecast period, customer PV-battery systems with the highest financial performance are able to reduce grid consumption above 90% resulting in significant energy resources being transferred out of the energy market. This necessitates the market integration of customer energy resources and provides an opportunity to leverage a combination of customer and utility energy resources for the renewable energy transition.

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  • Say, Kelvin & John, Michele & Dargaville, Roger & Wills, Raymond T., 2018. "The coming disruption: The movement towards the customer renewable energy transition," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 737-748.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:123:y:2018:i:c:p:737-748
    DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2018.09.026
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    2. Say, Kelvin & John, Michele, 2021. "Molehills into mountains: Transitional pressures from household PV-battery adoption under flat retail and feed-in tariffs," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    3. Say, Kelvin & Schill, Wolf-Peter & John, Michele, 2020. "Degrees of displacement: The impact of household PV battery prosumage on utility generation and storage," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 276(C).
    4. Kobashi, Takuro & Choi, Younghun & Hirano, Yujiro & Yamagata, Yoshiki & Say, Kelvin, 2022. "Rapid rise of decarbonization potentials of photovoltaics plus electric vehicles in residential houses over commercial districts," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(PB).
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    6. Dewi, Retno Gumilang & Siagian, Ucok Welo Risma & Asmara, Briantama & Anggraini, Syahrina Dyah & Ichihara, Jun & Kobashi, Takuro, 2023. "Equitable, affordable, and deep decarbonization pathways for low-latitude developing cities by rooftop photovoltaics integrated with electric vehicles," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 332(C).
    7. de Souza Dutra, Michael David & da Conceição Júnior, Gerson & de Paula Ferreira, William & Campos Chaves, Matheus Roberto, 2020. "A customized transition towards smart homes: A fast framework for economic analyses," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(C).
    8. Say, Kelvin & John, Michele & Dargaville, Roger, 2019. "Power to the people: Evolutionary market pressures from residential PV battery investments in Australia," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    9. Chao Zhou & Dongyu Liu & Pengfei Zhou & Jie Luo & Serhat Yuksel & Hasan Dincer, 2020. "Hybrid Predictive Decision-Making Approach to Emission Reduction Policies for Sustainable Energy Industry," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-21, May.
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    11. Claudia Gunther & Wolf-Peter Schill & Alexander Zerrahn, 2019. "Prosumage of solar electricity: tariff design, capacity investments, and power system effects," Papers 1907.09855, arXiv.org.
    12. Hojckova, Kristina & Ahlborg, Helene & Morrison, Gregory M. & Sandén, Björn, 2020. "Entrepreneurial use of context for technological system creation and expansion: The case of blockchain-based peer-to-peer electricity trading," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 49(8).

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