Unknowable states and choice-based definitions of subjective probabilities
AbstractThis paper exposes a difficulty in applying the revealed preference methodology to the definition of subjective probabilities. It shows that in the presence of unknowable states it is impossible to provide choice-based foundations of prior probabilities in Bayes' theory.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Elsevier in its journal Economics Letters.
Volume (Year): 99 (2008)
Issue (Month): 3 (June)
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Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/ecolet
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- Machina,Mark & Schmeidler,David, 1991.
"A more robust definition of subjective probability,"
Discussion Paper Serie A
365, University of Bonn, Germany.
- Machina, Mark J & Schmeidler, David, 1992. "A More Robust Definition of Subjective Probability," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 60(4), pages 745-80, July.
- Mark J. Machina & David Schmeidler, 1990. "A More Robust Definition of Subjective Probability," Discussion Paper Serie A 306, University of Bonn, Germany.
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