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China's liberalizing stock market, crude oil, and safe-haven assets: A linkage study based on a novel multivariate wavelet-vine copula approach

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  • Ji, Hao
  • Wang, Hao
  • Zhong, Rui
  • Li, Min

Abstract

China is the world's largest oil importer, and therefore the correlations between stock indices and highly volatile oil prices deserve close examination when investing in China's gradually liberalizing stock market. Another concern for international investors is whether safe-haven assets can reduce portfolio risks for investment in China. The paper makes two main contributions. First, we develop a novel method of examining a multivariate dependence structure by combining wavelet analysis with the vine copula model. Second, we apply the proposed methodology to study the correlations between China's liberalizing stock market, petroleum, and safe-haven assets at different frequencies. We find that the multidimensional dependence of these assets has been altered as a result of the 2008 global financial crisis. Moreover, the vine structures exhibit dependence patterns that vary over time horizons, indicating that the multidimensional dependence is sensitive to time scales.

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  • Ji, Hao & Wang, Hao & Zhong, Rui & Li, Min, 2020. "China's liberalizing stock market, crude oil, and safe-haven assets: A linkage study based on a novel multivariate wavelet-vine copula approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 187-204.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:93:y:2020:i:c:p:187-204
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2020.07.022
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    China's liberalizing stock market; Crude oil; Safe-haven assets; Multivariate dependence structure; Wavelet-vine copula approach;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • F37 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Finance Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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