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Generalized asset pricing: Expected Downside Risk-based equilibrium modeling

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  • Ormos, Mihály
  • Timotity, Dusán

Abstract

We introduce an equilibrium asset pricing model, which we build on the relationship between a novel risk measure, the Expected Downside Risk (EDR), and the expected return. On the one hand, our proposed risk measure uses a nonparametric approach that allows us to get rid of any assumption on the distribution of returns. On the other hand, our asset pricing model is based on loss-averse investors of Prospect Theory, through which we implement the risk-seeking behavior of investors in a dynamic setting. By including EDR in our proposed model, unrealistic assumptions of commonly used equilibrium models – such as the exclusion of risk-seeking or price-maker investors and the assumption of unlimited leverage opportunity for a unique interest rate – can be omitted. Therefore, we argue that based on more realistic assumptions, our model is able to describe equilibrium expected returns with higher accuracy, which we support by empirical evidence as well.

Suggested Citation

  • Ormos, Mihály & Timotity, Dusán, 2016. "Generalized asset pricing: Expected Downside Risk-based equilibrium modeling," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PB), pages 967-980.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:52:y:2016:i:pb:p:967-980
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2015.10.036
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    Cited by:

    1. Mihály Ormos & Dusán Timotity, 2017. "Expected downside risk and asset prices: characteristics of emerging and developed European markets," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 44(3), pages 529-546, August.
    2. Ormos Mihály & Timotity Dusán, 2017. "The Case of “Less is More”: Modelling Risk-Preference with Expected Downside Risk," The B.E. Journal of Theoretical Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 17(2), pages 1-14, June.
    3. Ana B. Ruiz & Rubén Saborido & José D. Bermúdez & Mariano Luque & Enriqueta Vercher, 2020. "Preference-based evolutionary multi-objective optimization for portfolio selection: a new credibilistic model under investor preferences," Journal of Global Optimization, Springer, vol. 76(2), pages 295-315, February.
    4. Michael Nwogugu, 2020. "Regret Theory And Asset Pricing Anomalies In Incomplete Markets With Dynamic Un-Aggregated Preferences," Papers 2005.01709, arXiv.org.
    5. Xu, Yahua & Xiao, Jun & Zhang, Liguo, 2020. "Global predictive power of the upside and downside variances of the U.S. equity market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 605-619.

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