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The South Korea–China trade and the bilateral real exchange rate: Asymmetric evidence from 33 industries

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  • Baek, Jungho
  • Nam, Soojoong

Abstract

The present article contributes to the existing literature by applying the NARDL approach of Shin et al. (2014) to investigate the asymmetric impacts of exchange rates on the bilateral exports and imports of 33 industries between South Korea and China. We demonstrate that there is evidence that fluctuations of the real South Korean won (KRW) to Chinese yuan (CNY) exchange rate have asymmetric impacts on some, though not all, types of South Korea’s exporting and importing industries in both the long- and short-run. Additionally, the asymmetric impacts appear to be an industrial-specific phenomenon.

Suggested Citation

  • Baek, Jungho & Nam, Soojoong, 2021. "The South Korea–China trade and the bilateral real exchange rate: Asymmetric evidence from 33 industries," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 463-475.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecanpo:v:71:y:2021:i:c:p:463-475
    DOI: 10.1016/j.eap.2021.06.007
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    13. Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen & Kanitpong, Tatchawan, 2019. "Thailand-China commodity trade and exchange rate uncertainty: Asymmetric evidence from 45 industries," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 20(C).
    14. Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen & Aftab, Muhammad, 2017. "On the asymmetric effects of exchange rate volatility on trade flows: New evidence from US-Malaysia trade at the industry level," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 86-103.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ercan Yasar & Güray Akalin & Sinan Erdogan & Samuel Asumadu Sarkodie, 2022. "Trading Kuznets curve: empirical analysis for China," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 49(3), pages 741-768, August.
    2. Munir Ahmad & Gul Jabeen & Syed Ahsan Ali Shah & Abdul Rehman & Fayyaz Ahmad & Cem Işik, 2022. "Assessing long- and short-run dynamic interplay among balance of trade, aggregate economic output, real exchange rate, and CO2 emissions in Pakistan," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(5), pages 7283-7323, May.
    3. Jungho Baek & Jee Hee Yoon, 2023. "The Korea‐Vietnam trade and the bilateral exchange rate: Asymmetric evidence from commodity trade data," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 62(1), pages 124-148, March.
    4. Hao-Chang Yang & Ferry Syarifuddin & Chun-Ping Chang & Hai-Jie Wang, 2022. "The Impact of Exchange Rate Futures Fluctuations on Macroeconomy: Evidence from Ten Trading Market," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 58(8), pages 2300-2313, June.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asymmetry effect; China; Economic growth; NARDL; Oil prices;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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