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Approximating and simulating the stochastic growth model: Parameterized expectations, neural networks, and the genetic algorithm

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  • Duffy, John
  • McNelis, Paul D.

Abstract

This paper compares alternative methods for approximating and solving the stochastic growth model with parameterized expectations. We compare polynomial and neural netowork specifications for expectations, and we employ both genetic algorithm and gradient-descent methods for solving the alternative models of parameterized expectations. Many of the statistics generated by the neural network specification in combination with the genetic algorithm and gradient descent optimization methods approach the statistics generated by the exact solution with risk aversion coefficients close to unity and full depreciation of the capital stock. For the alternative specification, with no depreciation of capital, the neural network results approach those generated by computationally-intense methods. Our results suggest that the neural network specification and genetic algorithm solution methods should at least complement parameterized expectation solutions based on polynomial approximation and pure gradient-descent optimization.
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  • Duffy, John & McNelis, Paul D., 2001. "Approximating and simulating the stochastic growth model: Parameterized expectations, neural networks, and the genetic algorithm," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 25(9), pages 1273-1303, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:25:y:2001:i:9:p:1273-1303
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    10. Heer, Burkhard & Maußner, Alfred, 2008. "Computation Of Business Cycle Models: A Comparison Of Numerical Methods," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 12(5), pages 641-663, November.
    11. G. Lim & Paul Mcnelis, 2006. "Central Bank Learning and Taylor Rules with Sticky Import Prices," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 28(2), pages 155-175, September.
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    16. Richard Dennis, 2004. "Specifying and estimating New Keynesian models with instrument rules and optimal monetary policies," Working Paper Series 2004-17, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    17. Marlon Azinovic & Luca Gaegauf & Simon Scheidegger, 2022. "Deep Equilibrium Nets," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 63(4), pages 1471-1525, November.
    18. Lim, G. C. & McNelis, Paul D., 2004. "Learning and the monetary policy strategy of the European Central Bank," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(7-8), pages 997-1010.
    19. Hull, Isaiah, 2015. "Approximate dynamic programming with post-decision states as a solution method for dynamic economic models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 57-70.
    20. JOSEPH Charles & DEWANDARU Janu & GUNADI Iman, 2010. "Playing Hard or Soft? : A Simulation of Indonesian Monetary Policy in Targeting Low Inflation Using a Dynamic General Equilibrium Model," EcoMod2003 330700074, EcoMod.
    21. Shaw, Philip, 2014. "A nonparametric approach to solving a simple one-sector stochastic growth model," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 125(3), pages 447-450.
    22. Adalbert Mayer, 2022. "An Agent-Based Macroeconomic Model with Endogenous Intertemporal Decision Rules," Eastern Economic Journal, Palgrave Macmillan;Eastern Economic Association, vol. 48(4), pages 548-579, October.
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    JEL classification:

    • C6 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling
    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques
    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models

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