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Optimal market-Making strategies under synchronised order arrivals with deep neural networks

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  • Choi, So Eun
  • Jang, Hyun Jin
  • Lee, Kyungsub
  • Zheng, Harry

Abstract

This study investigates the optimal execution strategy of market-making for market and limit order arrival dynamics under a novel framework that includes a synchronised factor between buy and sell order arrivals. Using statistical tests, we empirically confirm that a synchrony propensity appears in the market, where a buy order arrival tends to follow the sell order’s long-term mean level and vice versa. This is presumably closely related to the drastic increase in the influence of high-frequency trading activities in markets. To solve the high-dimensional Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman equation, we propose a deep neural network approximation and theoretically verify the existence of a network structure that guarantees a sufficiently small loss function. Finally, we implement the terminal profit and loss profile of market-making using the estimated optimal strategy and compare its performance distribution with that of other feasible strategies. We find that our estimation of the optimal market-making placement allows significantly stable and steady profit accumulation over time through the implementation of strict inventory management.

Suggested Citation

  • Choi, So Eun & Jang, Hyun Jin & Lee, Kyungsub & Zheng, Harry, 2021. "Optimal market-Making strategies under synchronised order arrivals with deep neural networks," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:125:y:2021:i:c:s0165188921000336
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2021.104098
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    3. Duong, Huu Nhan & Kalev, Petko S. & Tian, Xiao Jason, 2022. "Does the bid–ask spread affect trading in exchange operated dark pools? Evidence from a natural experiment," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Optimal strategy; Order arrival models; Synchrony; High-dimensional hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman; Deep neural network;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

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