IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/anture/v97y2022ics0160738322001256.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Low-cost carriers and tourism in the Italian regions: A segmented regression model

Author

Listed:
  • Vergori, Anna Serena
  • Arima, Serena

Abstract

The paper analyzes the effects of air transport deregulation on international tourism flows in the Italian regions. Due to several reasons, tourist flows rarely are equally distributed within a nation. We focus on the accessibility to a territory as one of those reasons. Easy and cheap access to a destination is the prerequisite for its tourism development; in this respect, the advent of low-cost carriers has increased accessibility to many tourist destinations. We propose a segmented regression analysis to study the evolution of the share of European tourist arrivals in each region on the total European tourists visiting Italy. Accordingly, we identify which regions have gotten a higher advantage in terms of tourism growth due to the air transport deregulation.

Suggested Citation

  • Vergori, Anna Serena & Arima, Serena, 2022. "Low-cost carriers and tourism in the Italian regions: A segmented regression model," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:anture:v:97:y:2022:i:c:s0160738322001256
    DOI: 10.1016/j.annals.2022.103474
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0160738322001256
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.annals.2022.103474?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Santos, Anabela & Cincera, Michele, 2018. "Tourism demand, low cost carriers and European institutions: The case of Brussels," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 163-171.
    2. Tay T. R. Koo & Andreas Papatheodorou, 2017. "Spatial Evolution of Airports: A New Geographical Economics Perspective," Advances in Airline Economics, in: The Economics of Airport Operations, volume 6, pages 235-259, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
    3. Perron, Pierre & Zhu, Xiaokang, 2005. "Structural breaks with deterministic and stochastic trends," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 129(1-2), pages 65-119.
    4. Papatheodorou, Andreas & Arvanitis, Pavlos, 2009. "Spatial evolution of airport traffic and air transport liberalisation: the case of Greece," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 17(5), pages 402-412.
    5. Wamboye, Evelyn F. & Nyaronga, Peter John & Sergi, Bruno S., 2020. "What are the determinant of international tourism in Tanzania?," World Development Perspectives, Elsevier, vol. 17(C).
    6. Valdes, Victor, 2015. "Determinants of air travel demand in Middle Income Countries," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 75-84.
    7. Boonekamp, Thijs & Zuidberg, Joost & Burghouwt, Guillaume, 2018. "Determinants of air travel demand: The role of low-cost carriers, ethnic links and aviation-dependent employment," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 18-28.
    8. Kopsch, Fredrik, 2012. "A demand model for domestic air travel in Sweden," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 46-48.
    9. Witt, Stephen F. & Witt, Christine A., 1995. "Forecasting tourism demand: A review of empirical research," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 11(3), pages 447-475, September.
    10. Brons, Martijn & Pels, Eric & Nijkamp, Peter & Rietveld, Piet, 2002. "Price elasticities of demand for passenger air travel: a meta-analysis," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 8(3), pages 165-175.
    11. Krugman, Paul, 1991. "Increasing Returns and Economic Geography," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 99(3), pages 483-499, June.
    12. Eugenio-Martin, Juan L. & Inchausti-Sintes, Federico, 2016. "Low-cost travel and tourism expenditures," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 140-159.
    13. Papatheodorou, Andreas, 2021. "A review of research into air transport and tourism," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    14. Chung, Jin Young & Whang, Taehee, 2011. "The impact of low cost carriers on Korean Island tourism," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 19(6), pages 1335-1340.
    15. Koo, Tay T.R. & Hossein Rashidi, Taha & Park, Jin-Woo & Wu, Cheng-Lung & Tseng, Wen-Chun, 2017. "The effect of enhanced international air access on the demand for peripheral tourism destinations: Evidence from air itinerary choice behaviour of Korean visitors to Australia," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 116-129.
    16. Rey, Belén & Myro, Rafael L. & Galera, Asun, 2011. "Effect of low-cost airlines on tourism in Spain. A dynamic panel data model," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 163-167.
    17. Koo, Tay T.R. & Lau, Pong-Lung, 2019. "Impact of aviation on spatial distribution of tourism: An experiment," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 1-1.
    18. Forsyth, Peter, 2003. "Low-cost carriers in Australia: experiences and impacts," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 9(5), pages 277-284.
    19. Thomas F. Stinson & Andrea Lubov, 1982. "Segmented Regression, Threshold Effects, and Police Expenditures in Small Cities," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 64(4), pages 738-746.
    20. Hess, Stephane & Polak, John W., 2005. "Mixed logit modelling of airport choice in multi-airport regions," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 11(2), pages 59-68.
    21. Donzelli, Matteo, 2010. "The effect of low-cost air transportation on the local economy: Evidence from Southern Italy," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 121-126.
    22. Christine Lim, 1997. "An Econometric Classification and Review of International Tourism Demand Models," Tourism Economics, , vol. 3(1), pages 69-81, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Giorgio Colacchio & Anna Serena Vergori, 2023. "Tourism Development and Italian Economic Growth: The Weight of the Regional Economies," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(4), pages 1-17, April.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Abdelghany, Ahmed & Guzhva, Vitaly S., 2022. "Exploratory analysis of air travel demand stimulation in first-time served markets," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    2. Wang, Sen & Gao, Yi, 2021. "A literature review and citation analyses of air travel demand studies published between 2010 and 2020," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    3. Khan, Nokhaiz Tariq & Jung, Gisun & Kim, Jaebum & Kim, Yun Bae, 2019. "Evolving competition between low-cost carriers and full-service carriers: The case of South Korea," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 1-9.
    4. Santos, Anabela & Cincera, Michele, 2018. "Tourism demand, low cost carriers and European institutions: The case of Brussels," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 163-171.
    5. Stephen Pratt & Markus Schuckert, 2019. "Economic impact of low-cost carrier in a saturated transport market: Net benefits or zero-sum game?," Tourism Economics, , vol. 25(2), pages 149-170, March.
    6. à lvarez-Díaz, Marcos & González-Gómez, Manuel & Otero-Giráldez, María Soledad, 2019. "Low cost airlines and international tourism demand. The case of Porto's airport in the northwest of the Iberian Peninsula," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 1-1.
    7. Koo, Tay T.R. & Lim, Christine & Dobruszkes, Frédéric, 2017. "Causality in direct air services and tourism demand," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 67-77.
    8. Bulatovic, Iva & Papatheodorou, Andreas, 2023. "Civil aviation and tourism demand in Montenegro: A panel data approach," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 25-36.
    9. Eugenio-Martin, Juan L. & Inchausti-Sintes, Federico, 2016. "Low-cost travel and tourism expenditures," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 140-159.
    10. Hong Tsui, Kan Wai, 2017. "Does a low-cost carrier lead the domestic tourism demand and growth of New Zealand?," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 390-403.
    11. Dobruszkes, Frédéric & Mondou, Véronique & Ghedira, Aymen, 2016. "Assessing the impacts of aviation liberalisation on tourism: Some methodological considerations derived from the Moroccan and Tunisian cases," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 115-127.
    12. Tchouamou Njoya, Eric, 2013. "Air Transport and Destination Performance – A case study of three African countries (Ethiopia, Kenya and South Africa)," MPRA Paper 48017, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Jaume Rosselló Nadal & María Santana Gallego, 2022. "Gravity models for tourism demand modeling: Empirical review and outlook," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(5), pages 1358-1409, December.
    14. Hanson, Daniel & Toru Delibasi, Tuba & Gatti, Matteo & Cohen, Shamai, 2022. "How do changes in economic activity affect air passenger traffic? The use of state-dependent income elasticities to improve aviation forecasts," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    15. Law, Colin C.H. & Zhang, Yahua & Gow, Jeff & Vu, Xuan-Binh, 2022. "Dynamic relationship between air transport, economic growth and inbound tourism in Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar and Vietnam," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    16. Kağan Albayrak, Muhammed Bilge & Özcan, İsmail Çağrı & Can, Raif & Dobruszkes, Frédéric, 2020. "The determinants of air passenger traffic at Turkish airports," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    17. Alderighi, Marco & Gaggero, Alberto A., 2019. "Flight availability and international tourism flows," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    18. Vieira, José & Câmara, Gualter & Silva, Francisco & Santos, Carlos, 2019. "Airline choice and tourism growth in the Azores," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 1-6.
    19. Birolini, Sebastian & Cattaneo, Mattia & Malighetti, Paolo & Morlotti, Chiara, 2020. "Integrated origin-based demand modeling for air transportation," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    20. Dobruszkes, Frédéric & Vandermotten, Christian, 2022. "Do scale and the type of markets matter? Revisiting the determinants of passenger air services worldwide," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:anture:v:97:y:2022:i:c:s0160738322001256. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/annals-of-tourism-research/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.