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A leverage points analysis of a qualitative system dynamics model for climate change adaptation in agriculture

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  • Egerer, Sabine
  • Cotera, Rodrigo Valencia
  • Celliers, Louis
  • Costa, María Máñez

Abstract

Participatory modeling approaches provide opportunities for collective action responding to challenges of community resource limitations. In the context of climate change, challenges arise from the potential limitations of water availability and resulting conflicts within the agricultural sector. Northeast Lower Saxony is the region with the highest irrigation intensity in Germany due to the sandy soils with low water holding capacity, the cultivation of crops with high water demand, and a negative climatic water balance during the summer months. Water resources will become more limited as a consequence of climate change. Simultaneously, the irrigation demand will most likely increase due to intensified crop cultivation.

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  • Egerer, Sabine & Cotera, Rodrigo Valencia & Celliers, Louis & Costa, María Máñez, 2021. "A leverage points analysis of a qualitative system dynamics model for climate change adaptation in agriculture," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:agisys:v:189:y:2021:i:c:s0308521x21000056
    DOI: 10.1016/j.agsy.2021.103052
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    1. Fatine Eddoughri & Fatima Zohra Lkammarte & Moussa El Jarroudi & Rachid Lahlali & Ahmed Karmaoui & Mohammed Yacoubi Khebiza & Mohammed Messouli, 2022. "Analysis of the Vulnerability of Agriculture to Climate and Anthropogenic Impacts in the Beni Mellal-Khénifra Region, Morocco," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(20), pages 1-16, October.
    2. Zanini, Sara, 2023. "Water challenges in socio-ecological systems: is human decision-making accounted for in the analysis of climate change adaptation options?," FEEM Working Papers 333364, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
    3. Sara Floriani Zanini, 2023. "Water challenges in socio-ecological systems: is human decision-making accounted for in the analysis of climate change adaptation options?," Working Papers 2023.06, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    4. Boonchanit Wongprapinkul & Sujitra Vassanadumrongdee, 2022. "A Systems Thinking Approach towards Single-Use Plastics Reduction in Food Delivery Business in Thailand," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-19, July.
    5. Rodrigo Valencia Cotera & Sabine Egerer & María Máñez Costa, 2022. "Identifying Strengths and Obstacles to Climate Change Adaptation in the German Agricultural Sector: A Group Model Building Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-19, February.

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