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A Comparison of the Returns of Oil and Energy Companies Quoted in Kase and the Returns of the Kase Index, Exchange Rate, and Selected International Energy Indices

Author

Listed:
  • Bibigul Izatullayeva

    (Khoja Akhmet Yassawi International Kazakh-Turkish University, Turkestan, Kazakhstan,)

  • Gulzhanat Tayauova

    (Turan University, Almaty, Kazakhstan)

  • Gulnara Sadykova

    (Kenzhegali Sagadiyev University of International Business, Almaty, Kazakhstan)

  • Madina Toktibayeva

    (Peoples Friendship University named after Academician A. Kuatbekov, Shymkent, Kazakhstan)

  • Altynbek Kenzhaliyev

    (Khoja Akhmet Yassawi International Kazakh-Turkish University, Turkestan, Kazakhstan)

Abstract

The positive steps taken since the beginning of the 2000s have brought Kazakhstan s economy ahead of its peers. Making this economic growth sustainable depends on the correct determination of the interaction between economic instruments. Therefore, we aim to determine the relationship between the returns of oil and energy companies traded on the Kazakhstan Stock Exchange (KASE) and the returns of the KASE index, exchange rate, and selected international energy indices. The data were analyzed using the VAR method. Our analysis showed that the two-period lagged value of the KZTO variable, the one-period lagged return of the KASE index in the KZAP variable, the two-period lagged return of the dollar exchange rate and the two-period lagged return of the KZAP in the KEGC variable have positive effects. On the other hand, one-period lagged return of the FTSE CNBC Asia 100 Oil and Gas index, one-period, and two-period lagged return of the ruble return, and one-period lagged return of the Dow Jones Islamic Markets Oil and Gas index were found to have negative effects.

Suggested Citation

  • Bibigul Izatullayeva & Gulzhanat Tayauova & Gulnara Sadykova & Madina Toktibayeva & Altynbek Kenzhaliyev, 2023. "A Comparison of the Returns of Oil and Energy Companies Quoted in Kase and the Returns of the Kase Index, Exchange Rate, and Selected International Energy Indices," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(1), pages 395-402, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2023-01-43
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Dinmukhamed Kelesbayev & Kundyz Myrzabekkyzy & Artur Bolganbayev & Sabit Baimaganbetov, 2022. "The Effects of the Oil Price Shock on Inflation: The Case of Kazakhstan," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(3), pages 477-481, May.
    2. Sims, Christopher A, 1980. "Macroeconomics and Reality," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 48(1), pages 1-48, January.
    3. Bekaert, Geert & Harvey, Campbell R., 1997. "Emerging equity market volatility," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(1), pages 29-77, January.
    4. Shahriyar Mukhtarov & Sugra Humbatova & Ilgar Seyfullayev & Yashar Kalbiyev, 2020. "The effect of financial development on energy consumption in the case of Kazakhstan," Journal of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(1), pages 75-88, January.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Kazakhstan; KASE; Oil; Energy; Exchange Rate; Energy Indices; VAR Analysis.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C20 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

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