IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eco/journ1/2016-04-84.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Government Spending Pattern and Macroeconomic Stability: A Vector Autoregressive Model

Author

Listed:
  • Joseph I. Amuka

    (Department of Economics, University of Nigeria, Nsukka, Nigeria,)

  • Miracle O. Ezeoke

    (Department of Economics, University of Nigeria, Nsukka, Nigeria,)

  • Fredrick O. Asogwa

    (Department of Economics, University of Nigeria, Nsukka, Nigeria)

Abstract

Macroeconomic stability has not kept pace with the pattern of public sector spending in majority of the developing countries. Unfortunately, past studies have mainly focused on the consequences of aggregate government spending on macroeconomic variables, or at most disaggregated government spending into capital and recurrent. In order to use government spending to effectively bring macroeconomic stability in developing countries, government spending must be decomposed according to sectors. Only very few studies have done this. We made effort to find out the components of government spending that cause macroeconomic instability in Nigeria, using vector autoregressive model. Result reveals government capital expenditure on economic services is the major cause of inflation in Nigeria. Impulse response function shows inflation will respond very sharp and positively to any shock in government capital spending in economic sector and social and community services. Therefore, if government must pursue economic stability through inflation control, she must re-examine her investment in those sectors

Suggested Citation

  • Joseph I. Amuka & Miracle O. Ezeoke & Fredrick O. Asogwa, 2016. "Government Spending Pattern and Macroeconomic Stability: A Vector Autoregressive Model," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 6(4), pages 1930-1936.
  • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ1:2016-04-84
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/download/2778/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: http://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/2778/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Magazzino, Cosimo, 2011. "The nexus between public expenditure and inflation in the Mediterranean countries," MPRA Paper 28493, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. J.A. den Hertog, 2010. "Review of economic theories of regulation," Working Papers 10-18, Utrecht School of Economics.
    3. Mr. John J Matovu & Ms. Era Dabla-Norris, 2002. "Composition of Government Expenditures and Demand for Education in Developing Countries," IMF Working Papers 2002/078, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Gali, Jordi, 1994. "Government size and macroeconomic stability," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 117-132, January.
    5. Lindauer, David L & Velenchik, Ann D, 1992. "Government Spending in Developing Countries: Trends, Causes, and Consequences," The World Bank Research Observer, World Bank, vol. 7(1), pages 59-78, January.
    6. M S Mohanty & Fabrizio Zampolli, 2009. "Government size and macroeconomic stability," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, December.
    7. Cosimo MAGAZZINO, 2011. "The Nexus Between Public Expenditure And Inflation In The Mediterranean Countries," Theoretical and Practical Research in the Economic Fields, ASERS Publishing, vol. 2(1), pages 89-101.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Rabia Haroon & Zainab Jehan, 2022. "Measuring the impact of violence on macroeconomic instability: evidence from developing countries," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 21(1), pages 3-30, January.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Kais Saidi & Mohammad Mafizur Rahman, 2021. "The link between environmental quality, economic growth, and energy use: new evidence from five OPEC countries," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 41(1), pages 3-20, March.
    2. Samer Mehibel & Yacine Belarbi, 2018. "Inflation Dynamics in Algeria," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 9(6), pages 174-187.
    3. Tai Dang Nguyen, 2016. "Impact Of Government Spending On Inflation In Asian Emerging Economies: Evidence From India, China, And Indonesia," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 64(05), pages 1171-1200, December.
    4. Kashif Munir & Nimra Riaz, 2019. "Fiscal Policy and Macroecomonic Stability in South Asian Countries," Hacienda Pública Española / Review of Public Economics, IEF, vol. 228(1), pages 13-33, March.
    5. Mehrara , Mohsen & Behzadi Soufiani , Mohsen, 2015. "The Threshold Impact of Fiscal and Monetary Policies on Inflation: Threshold Model Approach," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 10(4), pages 1-27, October.
    6. Selgin, George & Lastrapes, William D. & White, Lawrence H., 2012. "Has the Fed been a failure?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 569-596.
    7. Andres, Javier & Domenech, Rafael & Fatas, Antonio, 2008. "The stabilizing role of government size," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 571-593, February.
    8. Anne Brunila & Marco Buti & Jan In 'T Veld, 2003. "Fiscal Policy in Europe: How Effective Are Automatic Stabilisers?," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 30(1), pages 1-24, March.
    9. Steven A. Symansky & Thomas Baunsgaard, 2009. "Automatic Fiscal Stabilizers," IMF Staff Position Notes 2009/23, International Monetary Fund.
    10. Turnovsky, Stephen J. & Chattopadhyay, Pradip, 2003. "Volatility and growth in developing economies: some numerical results and empirical evidence," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(2), pages 267-295, March.
    11. Irene Brunetti & Davide fiaschi & Lisa Gianmoena, 2013. "An Index of Growth Rate Volatility: Methodology and an Application to European Regions," Discussion Papers 2013/169, Dipartimento di Economia e Management (DEM), University of Pisa, Pisa, Italy.
    12. Mountain, Bruce R., 2019. "Ownership, regulation, and financial disparity: The case of electricity distribution in Australia," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 1-1.
    13. Dolls, Mathias & Fuest, Clemens & Peichl, Andreas, 2012. "Automatic stabilizers and economic crisis: US vs. Europe," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(3), pages 279-294.
    14. Campbell Leith & Simon Wren-Lewis, 2013. "Fiscal Sustainability in a New Keynesian Model," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 45(8), pages 1477-1516, December.
    15. Ghate, Chetan & Gopalakrishnan, Pawan & Tarafdar, Suchismita, 2016. "Fiscal policy in an emerging market business cycle model," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 14(PA), pages 52-77.
    16. Daniel Attah-Kyei & Charles Andoh & Saint Kuttu, 2023. "Risk, technical efficiency and capital requirements of Ghanaian insurers," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 25(4), pages 1-27, December.
    17. Phares, Jonathan & Dobrzykowski, David D. & Prohofsky, Jodi, 2021. "How policy is shaping the macro healthcare delivery supply chain: The emergence of a new tier of retail medical clinics," Business Horizons, Elsevier, vol. 64(3), pages 333-345.
    18. Herzog, Bodo, 2006. "Coordination of fiscal and monetary policy in CIS-countries: A theory of optimum fiscal area?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 256-274, June.
    19. Fabio Canova & Evi Pappa, 2006. "Does It Cost to Be Virtuous? The Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Constraints," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2004, pages 327-370, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    20. Lane, Philip R., 2003. "The cyclical behaviour of fiscal policy: evidence from the OECD," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(12), pages 2661-2675, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Government; Spending; Pattern; Macroeconomic; Stability;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H5 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies
    • E6 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eco:journ1:2016-04-84. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Ilhan Ozturk (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.econjournals.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.