IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ebl/ecbull/eb-11-00406.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Purchasing Power Parity in African Countries: Further Evidence based on the ADL Test for Threshold Cointegration

Author

Listed:
  • Tsangyao Chang

    (Department of Finance, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan)

  • Chia-hao Lee

    (Department of Finance, National Chung Hsing University)

  • Guochen Pan

    (Department of Insurance and Actuarial Science, Wuhan University, China)

Abstract

In this study, we applied a newly-developed Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ADL) test for threshold cointegration, proposed by Li and Lee (2010) to test the validity of long-run purchasing power parity (PPP) for a sample of 18 African countries from January 1985 to September 2008. Empirical results indicate that PPP holds true for half of these countries studied, the long-run PPP adjustment process toward its equilibrium is asymmetric. Our results have important policy implications for these African countries under study.

Suggested Citation

  • Tsangyao Chang & Chia-hao Lee & Guochen Pan, 2012. "Purchasing Power Parity in African Countries: Further Evidence based on the ADL Test for Threshold Cointegration," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 32(1), pages 220-228.
    • Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-11-00406
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.accessecon.com/Pubs/EB/2012/Volume32/EB-12-V32-I1-P20.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. James R. Lothian & Mark P. Taylor, 2008. "Real Exchange Rates Over the Past Two Centuries: How Important is the Harrod‐Balassa‐Samuelson Effect?," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 118(532), pages 1742-1763, October.
    2. Juvenal Luciana & Taylor Mark P., 2008. "Threshold Adjustment of Deviations from the Law of One Price," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 12(3), pages 1-46, September.
    3. Balke, Nathan S & Fomby, Thomas B, 1997. "Threshold Cointegration," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 38(3), pages 627-645, August.
    4. Kilian, Lutz & Taylor, Mark P., 2003. "Why is it so difficult to beat the random walk forecast of exchange rates?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(1), pages 85-107, May.
    5. Kenneth Rogoff, 1996. "The Purchasing Power Parity Puzzle," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 34(2), pages 647-668, June.
    6. Alan M. Taylor & Mark P. Taylor, 2004. "The Purchasing Power Parity Debate," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 18(4), pages 135-158, Fall.
    7. Wu, Jyh-Lin & Chen, Show-Lin, 2001. "Nominal exchange-rate prediction: evidence from a nonlinear approach," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(4), pages 521-532, August.
    8. Jakob Madsen & Bill Yang, 1998. "Asymmetric price adjustment in a menu-cost model," Journal of Economics, Springer, vol. 68(3), pages 295-309, October.
    9. Ramsey, James B & Rothman, Philip, 1996. "Time Irreversibility and Business Cycle Asymmetry," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 28(1), pages 1-21, February.
    10. Sarno,Lucio & Taylor,Mark P., 2003. "The Economics of Exchange Rates," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521485845.
    11. Lucio Sarno & Mark P. Taylor, 2002. "Purchasing Power Parity and the Real Exchange Rate," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 49(1), pages 1-5.
    12. Taylor, Mark P. & Sarno, Lucio, 1998. "The behavior of real exchange rates during the post-Bretton Woods period," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(2), pages 281-312, December.
    13. Ronald Macdonald & Mark P. Taylor, 1992. "Exchange Rate Economics: A Survey," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 39(1), pages 1-57, March.
    14. Mark P. Taylor, 2004. "Is Official Exchange Rate Intervention Effective?," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 71, pages 1-11, February.
    15. Peter Boswijk, H., 1994. "Testing for an unstable root in conditional and structural error correction models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 63(1), pages 37-60, July.
    16. Alan M. Taylor & Mark P. Taylor, 2004. "The Purchasing Power Parity Debate," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 18(4), pages 135-158, Fall.
    17. Lothian, James R. & Taylor, Mark P., 2000. "Purchasing power parity over two centuries: strengthening the case for real exchange rate stability: A reply to Cuddington and Liang," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(5), pages 759-764, October.
    18. Enders, Walter & Granger, Clive W J, 1998. "Unit-Root Tests and Asymmetric Adjustment with an Example Using the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 16(3), pages 304-311, July.
    19. Jing Li & Junsoo Lee, 2010. "ADL tests for threshold cointegration," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(4), pages 241-254, July.
    20. Taylor, Mark P. & Peel, David A., 2000. "Nonlinear adjustment, long-run equilibrium and exchange rate fundamentals," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 33-53, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Tsangyao Chang & Chia-hao Lee & Pei-I Chou, 2011. "Purchasing power parity in G-7 countries: Further evidence based on ADL test for threshold cointegration," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 31(2), pages 1172-1182.
    2. Yang-Cheng Ralph Lu & Tsangyao Chang & Chia-Hao Lee, 2012. "Nonlinear adjustment to purchasing power parity in transition countries: the ADL test for threshold cointegration," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(7), pages 629-633, May.
    3. Chang, Tsangyao & Lee, Chia-Hao & Liu, Wen-Chi, 2012. "Nonlinear adjustment to purchasing power parity for ASEAN countries," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 24(4), pages 325-331.
    4. Tsangyao Chang & Wen-Chi Liu, 2010. "Long-run purchasing power parity with asymmetric adjustment: evidence from nine major oil-exporting countries," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 15(3), pages 263-274.
    5. He, Huizhen & Ranjbar, Omid & Chang, Tsangyao, 2013. "Purchasing power parity in transition countries: Old wine with new bottle," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 24-32.
    6. He, Huizhen & Chang, Tsangyao, 2013. "Purchasing power parity in transition countries: Sequential panel selection method," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 604-609.
    7. Chang, Tsangyao & Lee, Chia-Hao & Chou, Pei-I & Tang, Dai-Piao, 2011. "Revisiting long-run purchasing power parity with asymmetric adjustment for G-7 countries," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 23(4), pages 259-264.
    8. Chang, Tsangyao & Tzeng, Han-Wen, 2011. "Long-run purchasing power parity with asymmetric adjustment: Further evidence from nine transition countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 1383-1391, May.
    9. He, Huizhen & Chou, Ming Che & Chang, Tsangyao, 2014. "Purchasing power parity for 15 Latin American countries: Panel SURKSS test with a Fourier function," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 37-43.
    10. Gawon Yoon, 2010. "Nonlinearity in real exchange rates: an approach with disaggregated data and a new linearity test," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(11), pages 1125-1132.
    11. Chi-Wei Su & Tsangyao Chang & Yu-Shao Liu, 2012. "Revisiting purchasing power parity for African countries: with nonlinear panel unit-root tests," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(25), pages 3263-3273, September.
    12. Tsangyao Chang & Chi-Wei Su & Yu-Shao Liu, 2012. "Purchasing power parity with nonlinear threshold unit root test," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(9), pages 839-842, June.
    13. Tsangyao Chang & De-Piao Tang & Wen-Chi Liu & Chia-Hao Lee, 2010. "Purchasing power parity for 15 COMESA and SADC countries: evidence based on panel SURADF tests," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(17), pages 1721-1727.
    14. Tsangyao Chang & Wen-Chi Liu & Han-Wen Tzeng & Chin-Ping Yu, 2010. "Purchasing power parity for G-7 countries: panel SURADF tests," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(12), pages 1223-1228.
    15. Tsangyao Chang & Hsu-Ling Chang & Ken Hung & Chi-Wei Su, 2012. "Nonlinear adjustment to purchasing power parity for Germany's real exchange rate relative to its major trading partners," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(2), pages 197-202, February.
    16. Tsangyao Chang & Chia-Hao Lee, 2010. "Revisiting purchasing power parity for East Asian countries: panel SURADF tests," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(13), pages 1329-1334.
    17. Tsung-Hsien Chen & Tsangyao Chang & Yi-Chun Zhang & Chia-Hao Lee, 2011. "Purchasing power parity in Mainland China and Taiwan: an empirical note based on threshold unit root test," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(18), pages 1807-1812, December.
    18. Tsangyao Chang & Yang-Cheng Lu & D. P. Tang & Wen-Chi Liu, 2011. "Long-run purchasing power parity with asymmetric adjustment: further evidence from African countries," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(2), pages 231-242.
    19. Tsangyao Chang & Yang-Cheng Lu & Wen-Chi Liu & Shu-Chen Kang, 2011. "Revisiting purchasing power parity for major oil-exporting countries using panel SURADF tests," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(1), pages 63-67.
    20. Yang-Cheng Ralph Lu & Tsangyao Chang & Chi-Chen Chiu & Han-Wen Tzeng, 2011. "Revisiting purchasing power parity for 16 Latin American countries: panel SURADF tests," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(3), pages 251-255.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Purchasing Power Parity; African Countries; ADL Test; Threshold Cointegration; Asymmetric Adjustment;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • C4 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-11-00406. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: John P. Conley (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.