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Is the Market Surprised by Poor Earnings Realizations following Seasoned Equity Offerings?

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  • Denis, David J.
  • Sarin, Atulya

Abstract

We examine the stock price reaction to earnings announcements in the five years following seasoned equity offerings (SEOs). On average, post-SEO earnings announcements are met with a significantly negative abnormal stock price reaction. Although this negative reaction accounts for a disproportionately large portion of long-run post-SEO abnormal stock returns, on average, abnormal stock price reactions to post-seo earnings announcements are reliably negative only within the smallest quartile of equity issuers. For small firms, therefore, these findings are broadly consistent with the hypothesis that firms issue equity when the market overestimates the firm's future earnings perfomance.

Suggested Citation

  • Denis, David J. & Sarin, Atulya, 2001. "Is the Market Surprised by Poor Earnings Realizations following Seasoned Equity Offerings?," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 36(2), pages 169-193, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:jfinqa:v:36:y:2001:i:02:p:169-193_00
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    Cited by:

    1. Juan Carlos Gómez Sala & María Jesús Pastor, 2004. "Is The Market Over-Optimistic About The Prospects Of Firms That Issue Equity? Evidence For The Spanish Market," Working Papers. Serie EC 2004-06, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie).
    2. Arnoud W.A. Boot & Anjan V. Thakor, 2003. "Disagreement and Flexibility: A Theory of Optimal Security Issuance and Capital Structure," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 03-001/2, Tinbergen Institute.
    3. Jandik, Tomas & Makhija, Anil K., 2005. "Debt, debt structure and corporate performance after unsuccessful takeovers: evidence from targets that remain independent," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 11(5), pages 882-914, October.
    4. Don M. Autore & Irena Hutton & Tunde Kovacs, 2011. "Accelerated Equity Offers and Firm Quality," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 17(5), pages 835-859, November.
    5. Deepika Bagchee, 2009. "Investors Adjust Expectations Around Sell‐Side Analyst Revisions In Ipo Recommendations," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 32(1), pages 53-70, March.
    6. Chen, Yi-Wen & Chou, Robin K. & Lin, Chu-Bin, 2019. "Investor sentiment, SEO market timing, and stock price performance," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 28-43.
    7. Fee, C Edward & Li, Zhi & Peng, Qiyuan, 2023. "Hidden Gems: Do market participants respond to performance expectations revealed in compensation disclosures?," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(1).
    8. Shu, Pei-Gi & Chiang, Sue-Jane, 2014. "Firm size, timing, and earnings management of seasoned equity offerings," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 177-194.
    9. Mohamed Faker Klibi & Hamadi Matoussi, 2007. "Gestion Des Resultats Et Performance Comptable Et Boursiere Des Entreprises Émettrices De Nouvelles Actions," Post-Print halshs-00534752, HAL.
    10. Vogt, Jan, 2023. "Managerial market timing under credit risk: How do timed buybacks and stock issuances influence the value of long-term shareholders?," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    11. Onur Arugaslan & Louise Miller, 2006. "On the Conditioning of the Financial Market’s Reaction to Seasoned Equity Offerings," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 11(2), pages 141-154, Jul-Dec.
    12. Farinos, Jose E. & Garcia, C. Jose & Ibanez, Ana M., 2007. "Is the long-run underperformance of seasoned equity issues irrational? Evidence from Spain," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 183-199.
    13. Huang, Kuo-Cheng & Wang, Yu-Chun, 2023. "How do investors underreact to seasoned equity offerings? Evidence from Taiwan's corporate governance evaluation," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    14. Daniel, Kent & Hirshleifer, David & Teoh, Siew Hong, 2002. "Investor psychology in capital markets: evidence and policy implications," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(1), pages 139-209, January.
    15. Shiheng Wang & Michael Welker, 2011. "Timing Equity Issuance in Response to Information Asymmetry Arising from IFRS Adoption in Australia and Europe," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 49(1), pages 257-307, March.
    16. Lyu, Huaili & Jia, Wanjiao & Tan, Xiulin, 2023. "Individual investment banker human capital and SEO discount: Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    17. Chang, Xin & Dasgupta, Sudipto & Hilary, Gilles, 2005. "The Effect of Auditor Choice on Financing Decisions," CEI Working Paper Series 2005-10, Center for Economic Institutions, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
    18. Fangjian Fu, 2010. "Overinvestment and the Operating Performance of SEO Firms," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 39(1), pages 249-272, March.
    19. Ng, Alex & Donker, Han, 2013. "Purchasing reserves and commodity market timing as takeover motives in the oil and gas industry," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 167-181.
    20. Jandik, Tomas & Makhija, Anil K., 2004. "Debt, Debt Structure and Corporate Performance after Unsuccessful Takeovers: Evidence from Targets that Remain Independent," Working Paper Series 2005-6, Ohio State University, Charles A. Dice Center for Research in Financial Economics.
    21. Malcolm Baker & Jeffrey Wurgler, 2002. "Market Timing and Capital Structure," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 57(1), pages 1-32, February.
    22. Lie, Erik, 2005. "Operating performance following open market share repurchase announcements," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 411-436, September.
    23. Shi, Wei & Wang, Rencheng, 2012. "Dynamic internal control performance over financial reporting and external financing," Journal of Contemporary Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 8(2), pages 92-109.

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