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Survival of the Richest: The Malthusian Mechanism in Pre-Industrial England

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Author Info
CLARK, GREGORY
HAMILTON, GILLIAN

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Abstract

Fundamental to the Malthusian model of pre-industrial society is the assumption that higher income increased reproductive success. Despite the seemingly inescapable logic of this model, its empirical support is weak. We examine the link between income and net fertility using data from wills on reproductive success, social status and income for England 1585 1638. We find that for this society, close to a Malthusian equilibrium, wealth robustly predicted reproductive success. The richest testators left twice as many children as the poorest. Consequently, in this static economy, social mobility was predominantly downwards. The result extends back to at least 1250 in England.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Cambridge University Press in its journal The Journal of Economic History.

Volume (Year): 66 (2006)
Issue (Month): 03 (September)
Pages: 707-736
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Handle: RePEc:cup:jechis:v:66:y:2006:i:03:p:707-736_00

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  1. Weir, David R., 1995. "Family Income, Mortality, and Fertility on the Eve of the Demographic Transition: A Case Study of Rosny-Sous-Bois," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 55(01), pages 1-26, March. [Downloadable!]
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  1. Larry E. Jones & Alice Schoonbroodt & Michèle Tertilt, 2008. "Fertility Theories: Can They Explain the Negative Fertility-Income Relationship?," NBER Chapters, in: Demography and the Economy National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!]
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  2. Jacob L. Weisdorf, 2007. "Made for Toil: Natural selection at the dawn of agriculture," PSE Working Papers 2007-33, PSE (Ecole normale supérieure). [Downloadable!]
  3. Staley, Mark, 2008. "Innovation, Diffusion and the Distribution of Income in a Malthusian Economy," MPRA Paper 9849, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  4. Ted Bergstrom, 2007. "Some Evolutionary Economics of Family Partnerships," University of California at Santa Barbara, Economics Working Paper Series 2007b, Department of Economics, UC Santa Barbara. [Downloadable!]
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  5. Gregory Clark, 2009. "Was There Ever a Ruling Class? A Proposal for the study of 800 Years of Social Mobility," Working Papers in Economic History 2009/04, Universidad Autónoma de Madrid (Spain), Department of Economic Analysis (Economic Theory and Economic History). [Downloadable!]
  6. Doepke, Matthias & Zilibotti, Fabrizio, 2007. "Occupational Choice and the Spirit of Capitalism," CEPR Discussion Papers 6405, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Luis Angeles, 2007. "GDP per capita or Real Wages? Making sense of coflicting views on pre-industrial Europe," Working Papers 2007_11, Department of Economics, University of Glasgow. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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