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The Introduction of Emerging Currencies into a Portfolio: Towards a more Complete Diversification Model

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  • Stéphanie Prat
  • Sophie Brana

Abstract

We draw on portfolio theory and international diversification in order to analyse strategies allowing to reduce emerging economies' exposure to exchange-rate risk. We show in particular that it may be efficient for an investor, in terms of maximising the return-to-risk ratio, to build up a portfolio of emerging-country assets denominated in local currency - unhedged against currency risk - compared with a strategy including emerging-country securities denominated in foreign currencies. This strategy would lead to a reduction in the original sin (i.e. the inability of emerging economies to borrow in local currency), and de facto to a reduction in currency mismatches in the balance sheets of emerging economies.
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Suggested Citation

  • Stéphanie Prat & Sophie Brana, 2010. "The Introduction of Emerging Currencies into a Portfolio: Towards a more Complete Diversification Model," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 121, pages 5-24.
  • Handle: RePEc:cii:cepiie:2010-q1-121-1
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Barry Eichengreen & Ricardo Hausmann & Ugo Panizza, 2007. "Currency Mismatches, Debt Intolerance, and the Original Sin: Why They Are Not the Same and Why It Matters," NBER Chapters, in: Capital Controls and Capital Flows in Emerging Economies: Policies, Practices, and Consequences, pages 121-170, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    International Portfolio Diversification; Original Sin; Emerging Countries; Downside Risk;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems

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