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Forecasting Revisions of Stock Changes Using Ifo Inventory Assessments

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  • Timo Wollmershäuser

Abstract

This article takes a closer look at revisions of changes in stocks. Common and, in some cases, major revisions of changes in stocks reveal a certain systemisation, which can be forecast using the Ifo Inventory Assessment among other indicators.

Suggested Citation

  • Timo Wollmershäuser, 2016. "Forecasting Revisions of Stock Changes Using Ifo Inventory Assessments," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 69(07), pages 26-32, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:69:y:2016:i:07:p:26-32
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    File URL: https://www.ifo.de/DocDL/sd-2016-07-wollmershaeuser-vorratsveraenderungen-2016-04-13.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jan-Egbert Sturm & Timo Wollmershäuser (ed.), 2005. "Ifo Survey Data in Business Cycle and Monetary Policy Analysis," Contributions to Economics, Springer, number 978-3-7908-1605-1.
    2. Klaus Abberger & Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2015. "Inventory Investment as Reflected in Statistics," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 68(15), pages 33-37, August.
    3. N. Gregory Mankiw & Matthew D. Shapiro, 1986. "News or Noise? An Analysis of GNP Revisions," NBER Working Papers 1939, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Jan Jacobs & Jan-Egbert Sturm, 2005. "Do Ifo Indicators Help Explain Revisions in German Industrial Production?," Contributions to Economics, in: Jan-Egbert Sturm & Timo Wollmershäuser (ed.), Ifo Survey Data in Business Cycle and Monetary Policy Analysis, pages 93-114, Springer.
    5. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Neuwirth, Stefan, 2012. "The impact of seasonal and price adjustments on the predictability of German GDP revisions," Kiel Working Papers 1753, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    6. Pascal Bührig & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2015. "Revisions of German Industrial Production Statistics and Ifo Indicators," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 68(21), pages 27-31, November.
    7. Faust, Jon & Rogers, John H & Wright, Jonathan H, 2005. "News and Noise in G-7 GDP Announcements," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 37(3), pages 403-419, June.
    8. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2005. "Previous-year price basis: Calculating rules for aggregation," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 58(22), pages 12-16, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Döhrn, Roland, 2018. "Revisionen der Volkswirtschaftlichen Gesamtrechnungen: Revisionspraxis des Statistischen Bundesamtes und ihre Auswirkungen auf Prognosen," RWI Materialien 127, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung.
    2. Robert Lehmann, 2023. "The Forecasting Power of the ifo Business Survey," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 19(1), pages 43-94, March.

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    JEL classification:

    • L81 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Retail and Wholesale Trade; e-Commerce

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