IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/cbk/journl/v10y2021i1p113-139.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Are risk weights of banks in the Czech Republic procyclical? Evidence from wavelet analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Václav Brož

    (Institute of Economic Studies, Charles University, and Czech National Bank, Prague, Czech Republic)

  • Lukáš Pfeifer

    (Czech National Bank and University of West Bohemia, Faculty of Economics, Prague, Czech Republic)

Abstract

We analyze the cyclicality of risk weights of banks in the Czech Republic from 2008 to 2016. We differentiate between risk weights under the internal ratings-based and those under the standardized approach, consider the financial cycle, and employ wavelet coherence as a means of dynamic correlation analysis. Our results indicate that the risk weights of exposures under the internal ratings-based approach, including risk weights related to exposures secured by real estate collateral, are procyclical with respect to the financial cycle. We also show that the effect of changing asset quality on risk weights is present for the internal ratings-based approach, in line with our expectations based on regulatory standards. Our results can be employed for the purposes of decision-making on the activation of supervisory and macroprudential instruments, including the countercyclical capital buffer.

Suggested Citation

  • Václav Brož & Lukáš Pfeifer, 2021. "Are risk weights of banks in the Czech Republic procyclical? Evidence from wavelet analysis," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 10(1), pages 113-139.
  • Handle: RePEc:cbk:journl:v:10:y:2021:i:1:p:113-139
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.cbcg.me/repec/cbk/journl/vol10no1-6.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ondrej Filip & Karel Janda & Ladislav Kristoufek & David Zilberman, 2016. "Foods, fuels or finances: Which prices matter for biofuels?," CAMA Working Papers 2016-63, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    2. Danielsson, Jon & James, Kevin R. & Valenzuela, Marcela & Zer, Ilknur, 2016. "Model risk of risk models," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 79-91.
    3. Claudio Borio, 2014. "The financial cycle and macroeconomics: what have we learned and what are the policy implications?," Chapters, in: Ewald Nowotny & Doris Ritzberger-Grünwald & Peter Backé (ed.), Financial Cycles and the Real Economy, chapter 2, pages 10-35, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    4. Heid, Frank, 2007. "The cyclical effects of the Basel II capital requirements," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(12), pages 3885-3900, December.
    5. Claudio Borio & Mathias Drehmann, 2011. "Toward an Operational Framework for Financial Stability: “Fuzzy” Measurement and Its Consequences," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Rodrigo Alfaro (ed.),Financial Stability, Monetary Policy, and Central Banking, edition 1, volume 15, chapter 4, pages 063-123, Central Bank of Chile.
    6. Markus Behn & Rainer Haselmann & Paul Wachtel, 2016. "Procyclical Capital Regulation and Lending," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 71(2), pages 919-956, April.
    7. Mariathasan, Mike & Merrouche, Ouarda, 2014. "The manipulation of basel risk-weights," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 23(3), pages 300-321.
    8. C. González-Concepción & M. C. Gil-Fariña & C. Pestano-Gabino, 2012. "Using Wavelets to Understand the Relationship between Mortgages and Gross Domestic Product in Spain," Journal of Applied Mathematics, Hindawi, vol. 2012, pages 1-17, December.
    9. Joseph G. Haubrich, 2020. "How Cyclical Is Bank Capital?," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 58(1), pages 27-38, August.
    10. Lukáš Pfeifer & Zdeněk Pikhart, 2019. "Leverage Ratio and its Potential For Enhancing the Effectiveness of Capital Regulation," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 8(2), pages 129-146.
    11. Borio, Claudio, 2014. "The financial cycle and macroeconomics: What have we learnt?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 182-198.
    12. Baruník, Jozef & Kočenda, Evžen & Vácha, Lukáš, 2016. "Gold, oil, and stocks: Dynamic correlations," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 186-201.
    13. Michael Brei & Leonardo Gambacorta, 2016. "Are bank capital ratios pro-cyclical? New evidence and perspectives," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 31(86), pages 357-403.
    14. Moisă ALTĂR & Matei KUBINSCHI & Dinu BARNEA, 2017. "Measuring Financial Cycle Length and Assessing Synchronization using Wavelets," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 18-36, September.
    15. Hacker, R. Scott & Karlsson, Hyunjoo Kim & Månsson, Kristofer, 2014. "An investigation of the causal relations between exchange rates and interest rate differentials using wavelets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 321-329.
    16. Berg, Tobias & Koziol, Philipp, 2017. "An analysis of the consistency of banks’ internal ratings," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 27-41.
    17. Lukas Pfeiffer & Libor Holub & Zdenek Pithart & Martin Hodula, 2017. "Leverage Ratio and its Impact on the Resilience of the Banking Sector and Efficiency of Macroprudential Policy," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 67(4), pages 277-299, August.
    18. Anil K. Kashyap & Jeremy C. Stein, 2004. "Cyclical implications of the Basel II capital standards," Economic Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, vol. 28(Q I), pages 18-31.
    19. Ferrer, Román & Jammazi, Rania & Bolós, Vicente J. & Benítez, Rafael, 2018. "Interactions between financial stress and economic activity for the U.S.: A time- and frequency-varying analysis using wavelets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 492(C), pages 446-462.
    20. Andersen, Henrik, 2011. "Procyclical implications of Basel II: Can the cyclicality of capital requirements be contained?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 7(3), pages 138-154, August.
    21. Filippo Curti & Ibrahim Ergen & Minh Le & Marco Migueis & Rob T. Stewart, 2016. "Benchmarking Operational Risk Models," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-070, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    22. Chaker Aloui & Besma Hkiri & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Muhammad Shahbaz, 2018. "A Multiple and Partial Wavelet Analysis of the Oil Price, Inflation, Exchange Rate, and Economic Growth Nexus in Saudi Arabia," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(4), pages 935-956, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Pfeifer, Lukáš & Hodula, Martin, 2021. "A profit-to-provisioning approach to setting the countercyclical capital buffer," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 45(1).
    2. Lukas Pfeifer & Martin Hodula, 2018. "A Profit-to-Provisioning Approach to Setting the Countercyclical Capital Buffer: The Czech Example," Working Papers 2018/5, Czech National Bank.
    3. Lukas Pfeifer, 2021. "Usability of capital buffers under a binding leverage ratio requirement," Occasional Publications - Chapters in Edited Volumes,, Czech National Bank.
    4. Malovaná, Simona & Kolcunová, Dominika & Brož, Václav, 2019. "Does monetary policy influence banks’ risk weights under the internal ratings-based approach?," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 43(2), pages 1-1.
    5. Simona Malovana & Dominika Kolcunova & Vaclav Broz, 2018. "The effect of accommodative monetary policy on the risk weights applied by domestic banks," Occasional Publications - Chapters in Edited Volumes, in: CNB Financial Stability Report 2017/2018, chapter 0, pages 136-147, Czech National Bank.
    6. Amila Žunić & Kemal Kozarić & Emina Žunić Dželihodžić, 2021. "Non-Performing Loan Determinants and Impact of COVID-19: Case of Bosnia and Herzegovina," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 10(3), pages 5-22.
    7. Lukas Pfeifer & Martin Hodula & Libor Holub & Zdenek Pikhart, 2018. "The Leverage Ratio and Its Impact on Capital Regulation," Working Papers 2018/15, Czech National Bank.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Montagnoli, Alberto & Mouratidis, Konstantinos & Whyte, Kemar, 2021. "Assessing the cyclical behaviour of bank capital buffers in a finance-augmented macro-economy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    2. Pfeifer, Lukáš & Hodula, Martin, 2021. "A profit-to-provisioning approach to setting the countercyclical capital buffer," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 45(1).
    3. David Martinez-Miera & Rafael Repullo, 2019. "Monetary Policy, Macroprudential Policy, and Financial Stability," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 11(1), pages 809-832, August.
    4. Rainer Baule & Christian Tallau, 2016. "Revisiting Basel risk weights: cross-sectional risk sensitivity and cyclicality," Journal of Business Economics, Springer, vol. 86(8), pages 905-931, November.
    5. Martin Hodula & Zlatuše Komárková & Lukáš Pfeifer, 2021. "The relationship between capital and liquidity prudential instruments," Journal of Regulatory Economics, Springer, vol. 59(1), pages 47-70, February.
    6. Raffaele Gallo, 2020. "The impact of the IRB approach on the relationship between the cost of credit for public companies and financial market conditions," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1290, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    7. Cucinelli, Doriana & Battista, Maria Luisa Di & Marchese, Malvina & Nieri, Laura, 2018. "Credit risk in European banks: The bright side of the internal ratings based approach," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 213-229.
    8. Malovaná, Simona & Kolcunová, Dominika & Brož, Václav, 2019. "Does monetary policy influence banks’ risk weights under the internal ratings-based approach?," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 43(2), pages 1-1.
    9. Markus Behn & Rainer Haselmann & Paul Wachtel, 2016. "Procyclical Capital Regulation and Lending," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 71(2), pages 919-956, April.
    10. Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Gross, Marco & Behn, Markus, 2016. "Assessing the costs and benefits of capital-based macroprudential policy," Working Paper Series 1935, European Central Bank.
    11. Ebrahimi Kahou, Mahdi & Lehar, Alfred, 2017. "Macroprudential policy: A review," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 92-105.
    12. Gehrig, Thomas & Iannino, Maria Chiara, 2021. "Did the Basel Process of capital regulation enhance the resiliency of European banks?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    13. Benetton, Matteo & Eckley, Peter & Garbarino, Nicola & Kirwin, Liam & Latsi, Georgia, 2021. "Capital requirements and mortgage pricing: Evidence from Basel II," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    14. Katsutoshi Shimizu & Kim Cuong Ly, 2018. "Did Basel regulations cause a significant procyclicality?," Working Papers 2018-06, Swansea University, School of Management.
    15. Stepankova, Barbora & Teply, Petr, 2023. "Consistency of banks' internal probability of default estimates: Empirical evidence from the COVID-19 crisis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    16. Markus Behn & Rainer Haselmann & Vikrant Vig, 2022. "The Limits of Model‐Based Regulation," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 77(3), pages 1635-1684, June.
    17. Tuuli, Saara, 2019. "Model-based regulation and firms' access to finance," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 4/2019, Bank of Finland.
    18. Ly, Kim Cuong & Shimizu, Katsutoshi, 2021. "Did Basel regulation cause a significant procyclicality?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    19. Peter Grundke & Kamil Pliszka & Michael Tuchscherer, 2020. "Model and estimation risk in credit risk stress tests," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 55(1), pages 163-199, July.
    20. Mandler, Martin & Scharnagl, Michael, 2022. "Financial cycles across G7 economies: A view from wavelet analysis," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    financial cycle; financial stability; internal ratings-based approach; risk weight.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • K23 - Law and Economics - - Regulation and Business Law - - - Regulated Industries and Administrative Law

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cbk:journl:v:10:y:2021:i:1:p:113-139. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: the person in charge (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/cbmgvme.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.