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A Graphical Investigation of the Size and Power of the Granger-Causality Tests in Integrated-Cointegrated VAR Systems

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Author Info

  • Panagiotis Mantalos

    (Lund University)

Abstract

The size and power of the Wald, Edgeworth expansion corrected likelihood-ratio statistic (LRE), and bootstrap tests for Granger causality in integrated-cointegrated VAR systems are considered. By using Monte Carlo methods and simple graphical techniques, the p-value plots, and power-size plots, properties of the tests in two different forms, the standard and the Dolado and L ¨ utkepohl (1996) modified form, are studied. Regarding the size of the tests, we found that the Wald performs badly in small- and medium-size samples, but the corrected tests, and especially the LRE for large samples, exhibit good performances. The bootstrap test showed the best performance in almost all situations. When considering the power results, using the size-power curves on a correct-size-adjusted basis, we found that the bootstrap tests have adequate power.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by De Gruyter in its journal Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics.

Volume (Year): 4 (2000)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
Pages: 2

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Handle: RePEc:bpj:sndecm:v:4:y:2000:i:1:n:2

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Web page: http://www.degruyter.com

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Related research

Keywords: bootstrap test; graphical methods; Granger causality; integrated-cointegrated (VAR) systems;

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Cited by:
  1. Gurgul, Henryk & Lach, Lukasz & Mestel, Roland, 2011. "The relationship between budgetary expenditure and economic growth in Poland," MPRA Paper 35784, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  2. A. Talha Yalta & Hatice Cakar, 2012. "Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in China: A Reconciliation," Working Papers 1202, TOBB University of Economics and Technology, Department of Economics.
  3. Abdulnasser Hatemi-J & Ghazi Shukur, 2002. "Multivariate-based causality tests of twin deficits in the US," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 29(6), pages 817-824.
  4. A. Yasemin Yalta, 2011. "New Evidence on FDI-Led Growth: The Case of China," Working Papers 1107, TOBB University of Economics and Technology, Department of Economics.
  5. Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin & Arslanturk, Yalcin, 2010. "Economic growth and energy consumption causal nexus viewed through a bootstrap rolling window," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(6), pages 1398-1410, November.
  6. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2013. "Housing and the Great Depression," Working Papers 1301, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.
  7. Tang, Chor Foon, 2010. "Savings-led growth theories: A time series analysis for Malaysia using the bootstrapping and time-varying causality techniques," MPRA Paper 27299, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  8. Hatemi-J, Abdulnasser, 2002. "Export performance and economic growth nexus in Japan: a bootstrap approach," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 14(1), pages 25-33, January.

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