The Dreaded Middle Seeds â€“ Are They the Worst Seeds in the NCAA Basketball Tournament?
AbstractThe following quote from Gregg Doyel in reference to the National Collegiate Athletic Association (NCAA) menâ€™s basketball tournament appeared on CBSSports.com on March 21, 2009. â€œFor teams with a realistic chance at winning multiple games in the NCAA tournament,â€¦the worst seed to have is the No. 8 or the No. 9. Thatâ€™s statistical certainty.â€ Is it really â€œstatistical certaintyâ€? This papers attempts to answer this question. Data concerning the number of games won by teams seeded 8, 9, 10, 11, and 12 were collected from the NCAA menâ€™s and womenâ€™s tournament brackets dating back to 1985 and 1994, respectively. It was found that among all teams entering the tournament, the 10, 11, and 12 seeds do not appear to have a statistical advantage over the 8/9 seeds. However, if only teams that win their first game are considered, the 10 seeds have a significantly greater mean number of wins than the 8/9 seeds in the menâ€™s tournament; and the 10, 11, and 12 seeds in the menâ€™s tournament and the 11 seeds in the womenâ€™s tournament have advanced to the Sweet Sixteen (at least two wins) a significantly greater proportion of times than the 8/9 seeds.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by De Gruyter in its journal Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports.
Volume (Year): 8 (2012)
Issue (Month): 2 ()
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Web page: http://www.degruyter.com
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