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A Reinvestigation of the Hysteresis Hypothesis in the OECD Countries

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  • Melis Tartici

    (Ankara, Turkey.)

Abstract

This study re-investigates the hysteresis hypothesis in unemployment for 24 OECD countries. The results obtained in the literature are quite mixed for the OECD countries, with the findings highly sensitive to the econometric methodology applied and data used. Therefore, to shed some light on this debate in addition to the conventional unit root tests, a variety of other tests that allow for asymmetric adjustment, structural breaks or both simultaneously are also considered. Our results show that the hysteresis effect in unemployment was confirmed for most of the countries studied according to all tests applied. Thus, the labor markets of the OECD countries calls for urgent reform, especially if they want their jobless rates to return to their pre 2008-2009 global financial crisis levels.

Suggested Citation

  • Melis Tartici, 2015. "A Reinvestigation of the Hysteresis Hypothesis in the OECD Countries," Econometrics Letters, Bilimsel Mektuplar Organizasyonu (Scientific letters), vol. 2(1), pages 22-40.
    • Handle: RePEc:bmo:bmoart:v:2:y:2015:i:1:p:22-40
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Hysteresis in unemployment; Nonlinear unit root test; Unit root test with structural break; Unit root test with both structural break and asymmetric nonlinearity.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search

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