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Long-Period Trade Elasticities for Canada, Japan, and the United States

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Author Info
Marquez, Jaime
Abstract

Most analyses of imports use brief, postwar samples and offer a large range of elasticity estimates suggesting that the role of income and prices in determining imports is not known with any precision. This paper offers an analysis of that role using data since 1890 for Canada, Japan, and the United States. The elasticities of the log-linear model are estimated and found to be inconsistent with the view that income and prices affect imports. Optimization models are considered and found to predict secular changes in income and price elasticities and explain the dispersion of estimates of the literature. Copyright 1999 by Blackwell Publishing Ltd.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Review of International Economics.

Volume (Year): 7 (1999)
Issue (Month): 1 (February)
Pages: 102-16
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Handle: RePEc:bla:reviec:v:7:y:1999:i:1:p:102-16

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  1. Jaime Marquez, 2000. "The Puzzling Income Elasticity of US Imports," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 1128, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
  2. Douglas A. Irwin, 2007. "Trade Restrictiveness and Deadweight Losses from U.S. Tariffs, 1859-1961," NBER Working Papers 13450, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Byron Gangnes & Craig Parsons, 2004. "Have US-Japan Trade Agreements Made a Difference?," Working Papers 200403, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Marcelo Olarreaga & Hiau Looi Kee & Alessandro Nicita, 2004. "Estimating Import Demand and Export Supply Elasticities," Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings 368, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
  5. Hiau Looi Kee & Nicita, Alessandro & Olarreaga, Marcelo, 2004. "Import demand elasticities and trade distortions," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3452, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-22.


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