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An exploratory analysis of the interactions between the determinants of migratory flows

Author

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  • Iuliana Mihai
  • Isabel Novo‐Corti

Abstract

More than often, studies explaining migration causes centre on economic explanations and minimize other factors' explanatory power. This research aims at creating a comprehensive model of migration determinants taking into account four dimensions: economic, social, cultural, and digital. A path model consisting of these dimensions was created and estimated through partial least squares structural equation modelling (PLS‐SEM). The PLS‐path model was applied to Romanian migration flows to 21 EU member states during 2007–2017. The findings indicate that social and technological developments have significant impacts on migration flows and that digital distance has a full mediation effect on the relationship between cultural distance and migration flows. Con mucha frecuencia, los estudios que explican las causas de la migración se centran en las explicaciones económicas y minimizan el poder explicativo de otros factores. El objeto de esta investigación es crear un modelo integral de los determinantes de la migración teniendo en cuenta cuatro dimensiones: económica, social, cultural y digital. Se creó un modelo de trayectoria compuesto por estas dimensiones y se estimó mediante un modelo de ecuaciones estructurales de mínimos cuadrados parciales (PLS‐SEM, por sus siglas en inglés). El modelo de trayectoria PLS se aplicó a los flujos migratorios de Rumanía hacia 21 Estados miembros de la UE durante 2007–2017. Los hallazgos indican que los avances sociales y tecnológicos tienen un impacto significativo en los flujos migratorios y que la distancia digital tiene un efecto mediador pleno en la relación entre la distancia cultural y los flujos migratorios. 移住についての研究は、経済的な説明に重点を置き、他の要因の説明力を最小化しているものが多い。本稿では、経済、社会、文化、デジタル技術の4つの側面を考慮した、移住の決定要因の包括的モデルを構築する。これらの側面からなるパスモデルを作成し、部分的最小二乗構造方程式モデル (Partial least squares ‐Structural Equation Modeling:PLS‐SEM)を用いて推定した。PLSパスモデルを、2007~2017年のルーマニア移民の21のEU加盟国への移動フローに適用した。結果から、社会的・技術的な発展が移動フローに大きな影響を与えており、デジタル技術に関する距離が文化的距離と移動フローの関係に完全な媒介効果を与えていることが示唆される。

Suggested Citation

  • Iuliana Mihai & Isabel Novo‐Corti, 2022. "An exploratory analysis of the interactions between the determinants of migratory flows," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 101(1), pages 163-182, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:presci:v:101:y:2022:i:1:p:163-182
    DOI: 10.1111/pirs.12639
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