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Business cycles and natural gas prices

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  • Apostolos Serletis
  • Asghar Shahmoradi

Abstract

This paper investigates the basic stylised facts of natural gas price movements using data for the period that natural gas has been traded on an organised exchange and the methodology suggested by Kydland and Prescott (1990). Our results indicate that natural gas prices are procyclical and lag the cycle of industrial production. Moreover, natural gas prices are positively contemporaneously correlated with United States consumer prices and lead the cycle of consumer prices, raising the possibility that natural gas prices might be a useful guide for US monetary policy, like crude oil prices are, possibly serving as an important indicator variable. Copyright 2005 Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries in its journal OPEC Review.

Volume (Year): 29 (2005)
Issue (Month): 1 (03)
Pages: 75-84

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Handle: RePEc:bla:opecrv:v:29:y:2005:i:1:p:75-84

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Cited by:
  1. Benhmad, François, 2013. "Dynamic cyclical comovements between oil prices and US GDP: A wavelet perspective," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 141-151.
  2. Hedi Arouri, Mohamed El & Khuong Nguyen, Duc, 2010. "Oil prices, stock markets and portfolio investment: Evidence from sector analysis in Europe over the last decade," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(8), pages 4528-4539, August.
  3. Ewing, Bradley T. & Thompson, Mark A., 2007. "Dynamic cyclical comovements of oil prices with industrial production, consumer prices, unemployment, and stock prices," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(11), pages 5535-5540, November.
  4. Elisaveta Archanskaïa & Jerome Creel & Paul Hubert, 2009. "Why the nature of oil shocks matters," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2009-02, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).

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