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From Hour to Hour in the Foreign Exchange Market

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Author Info
Goodhart, C A E
Giugale, M
Abstract

This paper analyzes hourly data for four foreign exchange spot rates, deutsche mark/dollar, British pound/dollar, Yen/dollar, and Swiss franc/dollar, with a series covering January-July 1986 involving 3,409 observations. Besides standard findings of leptokurtosis and unit roots, three of the series exhibit negative first-order autocorrelation that became more pronounced after jumps. The series are pair-wise cointegrated and la gs of the deutsche mark/dollar helped in forecasting the Swiss franc/dollar. There is a marked hourly pattern in foreign exchange volatility, with much of the weekend break effect occurring only after Europe reopens at 09.00 Greenwich mean time on Monday mornings. Copyright 1993 by Blackwell Publishers Ltd and The Victoria University of Manchester

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal The Manchester School of Economic & Social Studies.

Volume (Year): 61 (1993)
Issue (Month): 1 (March)
Pages: 1-34
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Handle: RePEc:bla:manch2:v:61:y:1993:i:1:p:1-34

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  1. Terry Boulter & Celeste Ping Fern Tan, 2000. "The Short Run Impact of Scheduled Macroeconomic Announcements on the Australian Dollar during 1998," School of Economics and Finance Discussion Papers and Working Papers Series 082, School of Economics and Finance, Queensland University of Technology. [Downloadable!]
  2. Anna Calamia, 1999. "Market Microstructure: Theory and Empirics," LEM Papers Series 1999/19, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy. [Downloadable!]
  3. Martin D. D. Evans, 2001. "FX Trading and Exchange Rate Dynamics," NBER Working Papers 8116, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-13.


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