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Exchange Rate Survey Data: A Disaggregated G-7 Perspective

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Author Info
MacDonald, Ronald

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Abstract

In this paper, some standard propositions pertaining to the formulation of foreign exchange market expectations are examined using a new survey database. The database has two novel features over such data used by other researchers. In particular, it consists of disaggregated survey responses for three key currencies conducted simultaneously in the G-7 countries. It is demonstrated, inter alia, that there are important intracountry and intercountry differences with respect to individual forecasting performances. This result indicates a substantial degree of suboptimal information processing. Copyright 1992 by Blackwell Publishers Ltd and The Victoria University of Manchester

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal The Manchester School of Economic & Social Studies.

Volume (Year): 60 (1992)
Issue (Month): 0 (Supplement, June)
Pages: 47-62
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Handle: RePEc:bla:manch2:v:60:y:1992:i:0:p:47-62

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  1. Agnes Benassy-Quere & Sophie Larribeau & Ronald MacDonald, 1999. "Models of Exchange Rate Expectations : Heterogeneous Evidence From Panel Data," Working Papers 1999-03, CEPII research center. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Michel Beine & Agnes Benassy-Quere & Estelle Dauchy & Ronald MacDonald, 2002. "The Impact of Central Bank Intervention on Exchange-Rate Forecast Heterogeneity," Working Papers 2002-04, CEPII research center. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Michael Schröder & Robert Dornau, 2000. "Do Forecasters use Monetary Models? An Empirical Analysis of Exchange Rate Expectations," CoFE Discussion Paper 00-14, Center of Finance and Econometrics, University of Konstanz. [Downloadable!]
  4. Carl Bonham & Richard Cohen & Shigeyuki Abe, 2006. "The Rationality and Heterogeneity of Survey Forecasts of the Yen-Dollar Exchange Rate: A Reexamination," Working Papers 200611, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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