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A joint test of fractional integration and structural breaks at a known period of time

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Author Info
Luis A. Gil-Alana

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Abstract

We propose the use of a version of the tests of Robinson [Journal of the American Statistical Association, 89 (1994) 1420] for testing the order of integration in raw time series in the presence of structural breaks at known periods of time. Also, a joint test for simultaneously testing the degree of integration and the need for the break is developed. Several Monte Carlo experiments conducted in the paper show that the joint test has better size and power properties relative to Robinson's (1994) tests. The tests are applied to the annual structure of the US real GDP, the results showing that the series is I(d) with d>=1, and with a break due to the World War II. Copyright 2004 Blackwell Publishing Ltd.

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Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Journal of Time Series Analysis.

Volume (Year): 25 (2004)
Issue (Month): 5 (09)
Pages: 691-700
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Handle: RePEc:bla:jtsera:v:25:y:2004:i:5:p:691-700

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  1. Katarzyna Lasak, 2008. "Maximum likelihood estimation of fractionally cointegrated systems," CREATES Research Papers 2008-53, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
  2. Katarzyna Lasak, 2008. "Likelihood based testing for no fractional cointegration," CREATES Research Papers 2008-52, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
  3. Bond, Derek & Harrison, Michael J & Hession, Niall & O’Brien, Edward J., 2006. "Some Empirical Observations on the Forward Exchange Rate Anomaly," Research Technical Papers 3/RT/06, Central Bank & Financial Services Authority of Ireland (CBFSAI). [Downloadable!]
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  4. Derek Bond & Michael J. Harrison & Edward J. O'Brien, 2006. "Purchasing Power Parity: The Irish Experience Re-visited," Trinity Economics Papers tep200615, Trinity College Dublin, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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