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Determinants of the Effective Real Exchange Rate of the Synthetic Euro: Alternative Methodological Approaches

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Author Info
Carsten Detken
Alistair Dieppe
Jérôme Henry
Frank Smets
Carmen Marin

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Abstract

On the basis of historical data aggregated over the period 1973 to 2000, we have experimented with four different approaches to estimate the synthetic euro's equilibrium exchange rate. Using a number of competing models with the same data set, variable definitions and sample period offers the possibility to assess the uncertainty surrounding such equilibrium levels, both from an empirical (different estimates) and a theoretical viewpoint (different specifications). In this exercise, the 'Rest of the World' is proxied by the US, the UK, Japan and Switzerland, aggregated on the basis of trade weights. Copyright Blackwell Publishers Ltd/University of Adelaide and Flinders University of South Australia 2002.

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File URL: http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/links/doi/10.1111/1467-8454.00173
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Australian Economic Papers.

Volume (Year): 41 (2002)
Issue (Month): 4 (December)
Pages: 404-436
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Handle: RePEc:bla:ausecp:v:41:y:2002:i:4:p:404-436

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  1. Katerina Smidkova & Ray Barrell & Dawn Holland, 2002. "Estimates of Fundamental Real Exchange Rates for the Five EU Pre-Accession Countries," Working Papers 2002/03, Czech National Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
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  2. Carmen Mar? Mart?ez, 2003. "The Structural Approach of a Natrex Model on Equilibrium Exchange Rates," UFAE and IAE Working Papers 588.03, Unitat de Fonaments de l'Anàlisi Econòmica (UAB) and Institut d'Anàlisi Econòmica (CSIC). [Downloadable!]
  3. Didier Borowski & Cecile Couharde, 2003. "The Exchange Rate Macroeconomic Balance Approach: New Methodology and Results for the Euro, the Dollar, the Yen and the Pound Sterling," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 14(2), pages 169-190, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Francisco Maeso Fernandez & Bernd Schnatz & Chiara Osbat, 2001. "Determinants of the Euro real effective exchange rate: a BEER/PEER approach," Working Paper Series 085, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
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