Advanced Search
MyIDEAS: Login

Methods for Forecasting the Business Cycle

Contents:

Author Info

  • Roumen Vesselinov
Registered author(s):

    Abstract

    The main aim of the undertaking is to define and implement a methodology for forecasting the business cycle and particularly the leading composite indicator. This methodology consolidates some elements recognized in the literature with some new elements of estimating and ranging of forecasts. It uses all the effective information from the numerous forecasts and synthesises them into one combined forecast.

    Download Info

    If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
    File URL: http://www.ceeol.com/aspx/issuedetails.aspx?issueid=5c99ab5b-a3b2-4b47-bb5d-bd8b84e00ac9&articleid=2705b2ac-e0a9-4a9c-a7d6-a16de04d9298#a2705b2ac-e0a9-4a9c-a7d6-a16de04d9298
    Download Restriction: Fee access

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version under "Related research" (further below) or search for a different version of it.

    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute in its journal Economic Thought.

    Volume (Year): (2001)
    Issue (Month): 1 ()
    Pages: 61-73

    as in new window
    Handle: RePEc:bas:econth:y:2001:i:1:p:61-73

    Contact details of provider:
    Postal: 3, Aksakov Str., 1040, Sofia
    Phone: (+359 2) 810 40 18
    Fax: (+359 2) 988 21 08
    Email:
    Web page: http://www.iki.bas.bg
    More information through EDIRC

    Related research

    Keywords:

    Find related papers by JEL classification:

    References

    References listed on IDEAS
    Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
    as in new window
    1. Engle, Robert F, 1982. "Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(4), pages 987-1007, July.
    2. Tim Bollerslev, 1986. "Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," EERI Research Paper Series EERI RP 1986/01, Economics and Econometrics Research Institute (EERI), Brussels.
    3. Chong, Yock Y & Hendry, David F, 1986. "Econometric Evaluation of Linear Macro-Economic Models," Review of Economic Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 53(4), pages 671-90, August.
    4. Clemen, Robert T., 1989. "Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 5(4), pages 559-583.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Lists

    This item is not listed on Wikipedia, on a reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bas:econth:y:2001:i:1:p:61-73. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Vassil Zahariev).

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.

    If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.