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Short-Run and Long-Run Oil Price Sensitivity of Equity Returns: The South Asian Markets

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  • Nandha, Mohan
  • Faff, Robert

Abstract

This paper examines the short-run and the long-run oil price sensitivity of Indian, Pakistani and Sri Lankan equity returns using industry share price indices that are common between at least two countries. A generalised method of moments based approach is applied to a market model augmented by an oil price factor. Results are estimated using both domestic and US dollar oil prices. Several industries (e.g. chemicals, engineering and machinery, food processors and transport) are found to be statistically significantly sensitive to the oil price factor in the long run, whereas no such sensitivity is detected in the short run. Our results indicate that longer period return generating intervals might offer a better setting in which to explore the oil price sensitivity of stock market returns in the South Asian markets. Currency of measurement of oil price appears to be irrelevant.

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File URL: http://purl.umn.edu/50370
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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Review of Applied Economics in its journal Review of Applied Economics.

Volume (Year): 2 (2006)
Issue (Month): 2 ()
Pages:

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Handle: RePEc:ags:reapec:50370

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Web page: http://www.lincoln.ac.nz/story11874.html

Related research

Keywords: South Asian markets; Short run and Long run; Oil price sensitivity; Financial Economics; C20; G12; Q49;

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  1. Papapetrou, Evangelia, 2001. "Oil price shocks, stock market, economic activity and employment in Greece," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 23(5), pages 511-532, September.
  2. Christopher F Baum & Mark E. Schaffer & Steven Stillman, 2002. "Instrumental variables and GMM: Estimation and testing," North American Stata Users' Group Meetings 2003 05, Stata Users Group.
  3. Ciner Cetin, 2001. "Energy Shocks and Financial Markets: Nonlinear Linkages," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 5(3), pages 1-11, October.
  4. Jones, Charles M & Kaul, Gautam, 1996. " Oil and the Stock Markets," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 51(2), pages 463-91, June.
  5. Faff, Robert W. & Brailsford, Timothy J., 1999. "Oil price risk and the Australian stock market," Journal of Energy Finance & Development, Elsevier, vol. 4(1), pages 69-87, 06.
  6. Cheung, Yin-Wong & Ng, Lilian K., 1998. "International evidence on the stock market and aggregate economic activity," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 5(3), pages 281-296, September.
  7. MacKinlay, A Craig & Richardson, Matthew P, 1991. " Using Generalized Method of Moments to Test Mean-Variance Efficiency," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 46(2), pages 511-27, June.
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