IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ags/nareaj/159443.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A Study Of The Economic Functions Of The Maine Potato Futures Market

Author

Listed:
  • Sooy, Jeff
  • Branch, Ben

Abstract

In an update and extension of prior work this study found that the potato futures markets continued to provide very unreliable forecasts of subsequent spot prices. On the other hand and contrary to some past studies an extensive study here failed to turn up any convincing evidence of a cobweb pricing relationship. Moreover the increasing volatility of potato futures prices in the more recent time period raises questions regarding their value as hedging vehicles. Finally it is argued that the market's efficiency might be improved by expanding the current Maine potato contract to permit delivery of round white potatoes grown outside Maine.

Suggested Citation

  • Sooy, Jeff & Branch, Ben, 1980. "A Study Of The Economic Functions Of The Maine Potato Futures Market," Journal of the Northeastern Agricultural Economics Council, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 9(1), pages 1-11, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:nareaj:159443
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.159443
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/159443/files/A%20study.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22004/ag.econ.159443?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Young, Ralph & Tomek, William G., 1978. "A Comparison of Marketing Strategies for Potatoes in Upstate New York," Staff Papers 184399, Cornell University, Department of Applied Economics and Management.
    2. Hee, Olman, 1967. "Demand and Price Analysis for Potatoes," Technical Bulletins 171576, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    3. Johnson, Aaron C., Jr., 1972. "Whose Markets? The Case for Maine Potato Futures," Food Research Institute Studies, Stanford University, Food Research Institute, vol. 11(3), pages 1-20.
    4. Working, Holbrook, 1960. "Speculation on Hedging Markets," Food Research Institute Studies, Stanford University, Food Research Institute, vol. 1(2), pages 1-36.
    5. Gray, Roger W., 1972. "The Futures Market for Maine Potatoes: An Appraisal," Food Research Institute Studies, Stanford University, Food Research Institute, vol. 11(3), pages 1-29.
    6. Wesson, William T., 1958. "The Economic Importance of Futures Trading in Potatoes," Marketing Research Reports 310693, United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Marketing Service, Transportation and Marketing Program.
    7. Working, Holbrook, 1963. "Futures Markets Under Renewed Attack," Food Research Institute Studies, Stanford University, Food Research Institute, vol. 4(1), pages 1-12.
    8. Gray, Roger W., 1964. "The Attack Upon Potato Futures Trading in the United States," Food Research Institute Studies, Stanford University, Food Research Institute, vol. 4(2), pages 1-26.
    9. Gray, Roger W. & Rutledge, David J.S., 1971. "The Economics of Commodity Futures Markets: A Survey," Review of Marketing and Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 39(04), pages 1-52, December.
    10. Gray, Roger W., 1960. "The Characteristic Bias in Some Thin Futures Markets," Food Research Institute Studies, Stanford University, Food Research Institute, vol. 1(3), pages 1-17.
    11. Young, Ralph & Tomek, William G., 1978. "A Comparison Of Marketing Strategies For Potatoes In Upstate New York," Journal of the Northeastern Agricultural Economics Council, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 7(2), pages 1-6, October.
    12. Roger W. Gray & William G. Tomek, 1971. "Temporal Relationships Among Futures Prices: Reply," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 53(2), pages 362-366.
    13. William G. Tomek & Roger W. Gray, 1970. "Temporal Relationships Among Prices on Commodity Futures Markets: Their Allocative and Stabilizing Roles," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 52(3), pages 372-380.
    14. Young, Ralph & Tomek, William G., 1978. "A Comparison Of Marketing Strategies For Potatoes In Upstate New York," Northeastern Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 0(Number 2), pages 1-6, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Sooy, Jeff & Branch, Ben, 1980. "A Study Of The Economic Functions Of The Maine Potato Futures Market," Northeastern Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 0(Number 1), pages 1-11, April.
    2. Tomek, William G. & Robinson, Kenneth L., 1977. "PART V. Agricultural Price Analysis and Outlook," AAEA Monographs, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, number 337217, january.
    3. Giles, David E. A. & Goss, Barry A., 1981. "Futures Prices As Forecasts Of Commodity Spot Prices: Live Cattle And Wool," Australian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 25(1), pages 1-13, April.
    4. Gordon, J. Douglas, 1985. "The Distribution of Daily Changes in Commodity Futures Prices," Technical Bulletins 156817, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    5. Manfred Streit, 1980. "On the use of futures markets for stabilization purposes," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 116(3), pages 493-513, September.
    6. Peck, Anna E., 1980. "The Role Of Economic Analysis In Futures Market Regulation," 1980 Annual Meeting, July 27-30, Urbana-Champaign, Illinois 278860, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    7. Langley, James A., 1983. "Regional acreage response functions for major US field crops: estimation and policy implications," ISU General Staff Papers 198301010800008678, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    8. Williams, John & Malcolm, Bill, 2012. "Farmer decisions about selling wheat and managing wheat price risk in Australia," Australasian Agribusiness Review, University of Melbourne, Department of Agriculture and Food Systems, vol. 20, pages 1-10.
    9. Thomas Delcey, 2019. "Samuelson vs Fama on the Efficient Market Hypothesis: The Point of View of Expertise [Samuelson vs Fama sur l’efficience informationnelle des marchés financiers : le point de vue de l’expertise]," Post-Print hal-01618347, HAL.
    10. Wang, Yudong & Liu, Li & Diao, Xundi & Wu, Chongfeng, 2015. "Forecasting the real prices of crude oil under economic and statistical constraints," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 599-608.
    11. Garcia, Philip & Hudson, Michael A. & Waller, Mark L., 1988. "The Pricing Efficiency of Agricultural Futures Markets: An Analysis of Previous Research Results," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(1), pages 119-130, July.
    12. Natanelov, Valeri & McKenzie, Andrew M. & Van Huylenbroeck, Guido, 2013. "Crude oil–corn–ethanol – nexus: A contextual approach," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 504-513.
    13. Büyükşahin, Bahattin & Robe, Michel A., 2014. "Speculators, commodities and cross-market linkages," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 38-70.
    14. Matteo Manera & Marcella Nicolini & Ilaria Vignati, 2012. "Returns in commodities futures markets and financial speculation: a multivariate GARCH approach," Quaderni di Dipartimento 170, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Quantitative Methods.
    15. Dwight R. Sanders & Scott H. Irwin, 2016. "The "Necessity" of New Position Limits in Agricultural Futures Markets: The Verdict from Daily Firm-level Position Data," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 38(2), pages 292-317.
    16. Martin T. Bohl & Alexander Pütz & Pierre L. Siklos & Christoph Sulewski, 2018. "Information Transmission under Increasing Political Tension – Evidence for the Berlin Produce Exchange 1887-1896," CQE Working Papers 7618, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
    17. Tabesh, Hamid, 1987. "Hedging price risk to soybean producers with futures and options: a case study," ISU General Staff Papers 1987010108000010306, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    18. Du, Xiaodong & Yu, Cindy L. & Hayes, Dermot J., 2011. "Speculation and volatility spillover in the crude oil and agricultural commodity markets: A Bayesian analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 497-503, May.
    19. Steffen Volkenand & Günther Filler & Martin Odening, 2020. "Price Discovery and Market Reflexivity in Agricultural Futures Contracts with Different Maturities," Risks, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-17, July.
    20. Sanders, Dwight R. & Garcia, Philip & Manfredo, Mark R., 2008. "Information Content in Deferred Futures Prices: Live Cattle and Hogs," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 33(1), pages 1-12, April.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:nareaj:159443. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/nareaea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.