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Sources of Bias and Solutions to Bias in the Consumer Price Index

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Author Info
Jerry Hausman
Abstract

Four sources of bias in the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) have been identified. The most discussed is substitution bias, which creates a second order bias in the CPI. Three other changes besides prices changes create first order effects on a correctly measured cost of living index (COLI). I explain in this paper that a "pure price" based approach of surveying prices to estimate a COLI cannot succeed in solving the 3 problems of first order bias. I discuss economic and econometric approaches to measuring the first order bias effects as well as the availability of scanner data that would permit implementation of the techniques.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by American Economic Association in its journal Journal of Economic Perspectives.

Volume (Year): 17 (2003)
Issue (Month): 1 (Winter)
Pages: 23-44
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Handle: RePEc:aea:jecper:v:17:y:2003:i:1:p:23-44

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  1. Daehoon Nahm, 2006. "Upper-Level Substitution and New-Goods Bias in the Korean Consumer Price Index," Research Papers 0602, Macquarie University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  2. M. Fase, 2007. "Notes and Communications," De Economist, Springer, vol. 155(2), pages 221-238, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Lupia, Arthur & Krupnikov, Yanna & Levine, Adam Seth & Grafstrom, Cassandra & MacMillan, William & McGovern, Erin, 2008. "How “Point Blindness” Dilutes the Value of Stock Market Reports," MPRA Paper 9612, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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  4. Marcos Chamon & Irineu E. Carvalho Filho, 2008. "The Myth of Post-Reform Income Stagnation: Evidence from Brazil and Mexico," IMF Working Papers 08/197, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  5. Bruce D. Meyer & James X. Sullivan, 2009. "Five Decades of Consumption and Income Poverty," NBER Working Papers 14827, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Griffith, Rachel & Nesheim, Lars, 2008. "Household Willingness to Pay for Organic Products," CEPR Discussion Papers 6905, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Trevon D. Logan, 2008. "Are Engel Curve Estimates of CPI Bias Biased?," NBER Working Papers 13870, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Dowrick, Steve, 2004. "Income-based Measures of Average Well-being," Working Papers UNU-WIDER Research Paper , World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER). [Downloadable!]
  9. Huffman, Wallace E. & Rousu, Matthew & Shogren, Jason F. & Tegene, Abebayehu, 2003. "Consumers' Resistance To Genetically Modified Foods In High Income Countries: The Role Of Information In An Uncertain Environment," 2003 Annual Meeting, August 16-22, 2003, Durban, South Africa 25837, International Association of Agricultural Economists. [Downloadable!]
  10. Marcos Chamon & Irineu de Carvalho Filho, 2006. "The Myth of Post-Reform Income Stagnation in Brazil," IMF Working Papers 06/275, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  11. Svedberg, Peter, 2003. "World Income Distribution: Which Way?," Seminar Papers 724, Stockholm University, Institute for International Economic Studies. [Downloadable!]
  12. Lesley Chiou, 2005. "Empirical Analysis of Retail Competition: Spatial Differentiation at Wal-Mart, Amazon.com, and Their Competitors," Occidental Economics Working Papers 3, Occidental College, Department of Economics, revised Nov 2006. [Downloadable!]
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