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Stated and realized demand for parametric rainfall insurance among rice farmers in Vietnam

Author

Listed:
  • Mogge, Lukas
  • Roeckert, Julian
  • Rukundo, Emmanuel Nshakira
  • Krähnert, Kati

Abstract

We study stated and realized demand for a new parametric insurance product against excessive rainfall among rice farmers in Vietnam's Mekong Delta, a region highly exposed to climate change. Using a household survey of 3,000 rice-farming households, we elicit willingness to pay (WTP) using a multiple-bounded dichotomous choice approach. Stated demand is substantial: 33% of respondents report a WTP of at least half the market price, and 18% report a WTP equal to or higher than the market price. Stated demand is significantly higher among men, younger respondents, and respondents reporting better self-assessed product understanding. Yet when insurance agents offered the product at a subsidized price below respondents' stated WTP, no respondent purchased it. We discuss mechanisms that may explain this discrepancy between stated and realized demand, including limited incentive compatibility of the WTP elicitation mechanism, changes in valuations, and contextual barriers to insurance adoption.

Suggested Citation

  • Mogge, Lukas & Roeckert, Julian & Rukundo, Emmanuel Nshakira & Krähnert, Kati, 2026. "Stated and realized demand for parametric rainfall insurance among rice farmers in Vietnam," Ruhr Economic Papers 1220, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:rwirep:343540
    DOI: 10.4419/96973405
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • G52 - Financial Economics - - Household Finance - - - Insurance
    • Q14 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Finance
    • Q12 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Micro Analysis of Farm Firms, Farm Households, and Farm Input Markets
    • O12 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Microeconomic Analyses of Economic Development

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