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An Experiment on Consumption Responses to Future Prices and Interest Rates

Author

Listed:
  • Luhan, Wolfgang J.
  • Roos, Michael W. M.
  • Scharler, Johann

Abstract

We design an experiment to investigate the influence of announced future variations in interest rates and prices on consumption decisions. In an experimental implementation of the discounted utility model, the subjects learn the entire paths of inflation and interest rates prior to deciding on a consumption path. We decompose the total change in consumption that results from changes in either interest rates or inflation rates into anticipation and impact effects. While impact effects are of similar orders of magnitude as in the model, future changes in inflation or interest rates exert substantially smaller effects on current consumption than predicted by the model.

Suggested Citation

  • Luhan, Wolfgang J. & Roos, Michael W. M. & Scharler, Johann, 2011. "An Experiment on Consumption Responses to Future Prices and Interest Rates," Ruhr Economic Papers 248, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:rwirep:248
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    Cited by:

    1. Meissner, Thomas & Rostam-Afschar, Davud, 2017. "Learning Ricardian Equivalence," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 273-288.
    2. Pooja Kapoor & Sujata Kar, 2022. "A Critical Evaluation of the Consumer Confidence Survey from India," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 7, pages 172-198.
    3. Lu, Kelin, 2022. "Overreaction to capital taxation in saving decisions," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    consumption; saving; intertemporal utility maximization; macroeconomic experiment;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D91 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making
    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • C91 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Design of Experiments - - - Laboratory, Individual Behavior

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