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AGMEMOD outlook for agricultural and food markets in EU member states 2018-2030

Author

Listed:
  • Salamon, Petra
  • Banse, Martin
  • Donnellan, Trevor
  • Haß, Marlen
  • Jongeneel, Roelof A.
  • Laquai, Verena
  • van Leeuwen, Myrna
  • Reziti, Ioanna
  • Salputra, Guna
  • Zirngibl, Max-Emanuel

Abstract

Policy, administration and industry need medium-term projections of the expected developments in the agri-food markets for their decision-making processes. The EU Commission presents such projections for the EU as a whole in December of each year. Those projections and their assumptions regarding policy and macroeconomic developments are depicted to the level of individual EU Member States with the exception of Luxembourg, which is included in the figures of Belgium, by applying the partial equilibrium model AGMEMOD. The working paper briefly describes the approach to establish projections for the EU Member States. The projections cover the markets of main agricultural products, in particular for cereals and oilseeds (rapeseed and sunflower seed), livestock (cattle, pigs, goats and sheep), meat (beef, pork, and poultry), milk and dairy products (drinking milk, butter, cheese, skimmed milk powder, whole milk and semi-skimmed milk powder). The outcomes comprise items like areas, livestock numbers, yields, production, trade and use, as well as prices. The individual projection results are displayed in tables.

Suggested Citation

  • Salamon, Petra & Banse, Martin & Donnellan, Trevor & Haß, Marlen & Jongeneel, Roelof A. & Laquai, Verena & van Leeuwen, Myrna & Reziti, Ioanna & Salputra, Guna & Zirngibl, Max-Emanuel, 2019. "AGMEMOD outlook for agricultural and food markets in EU member states 2018-2030," Thünen Working Papers 114, Johann Heinrich von Thünen Institute, Federal Research Institute for Rural Areas, Forestry and Fisheries.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:jhtiwp:114
    DOI: 10.3220/WP1544622148000
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    Cited by:

    1. Rudi Hessel & Guido Wyseure & Ioanna S. Panagea & Abdallah Alaoui & Mark S. Reed & Hedwig van Delden & Melanie Muro & Jane Mills & Oene Oenema & Francisco Areal & Erik van den Elsen & Simone Verzandvo, 2022. "Soil-Improving Cropping Systems for Sustainable and Profitable Farming in Europe," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-27, May.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    projections; agricultural market; PE; agricultural market model; dairy market; meat market; grain market; oilseed market; EU member states; Projektionen; Agrarmarkt; Agrarmarktmodell; Milchmarkt; Fleischmarkt; Getreidemarkt; Ölsaatenmarkt; EU-Mitgliedsstaaten;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C30 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - General
    • Q11 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis; Prices
    • Q13 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Markets and Marketing; Cooperatives; Agribusiness

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