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Kein Aufschwung in Sicht: IW-Konjunkturprognose Frühjahr 2023

Author

Listed:
  • Bardt, Hubertus
  • Demary, Markus
  • Grömling, Michael
  • Henger, Ralph
  • Hentze, Tobias
  • Hüther, Michael
  • Obst, Thomas
  • Pimpertz, Jochen
  • Puls, Thomas
  • Schaefer, Thilo
  • Schäfer, Holger

Abstract

Ein namhafter Aufschwung der deutschen Wirtschaft findet im Jahr 2023 nicht statt. Das reale Bruttoinlandsprodukt wird zwar nach der Winterpause im Jahresverlauf wieder zulegen. Das Konjunkturtempo wird zum Jahresende jedoch wieder nachlassen, wenngleich eine erneute Winterrezession derzeit nicht gesehen wird. Neuerliche Knappheiten an den Energiemärkten können für wiederkehrende Preisausschläge sorgen. Insgesamt bleibt die Dynamik hierzulande verhalten und dies spiegelt keine breit angelegte und zugkräftige Erholung nach den dreijährigen Beeinträchtigungen durch die Pandemie und die russische Invasion in der Ukraine wider. Folglich wird in diesem Jahr die Wirtschaftsleistung in Deutschland das Vorjahresergebnis nur um gut ¼ Prozent übertreffen.

Suggested Citation

  • Bardt, Hubertus & Demary, Markus & Grömling, Michael & Henger, Ralph & Hentze, Tobias & Hüther, Michael & Obst, Thomas & Pimpertz, Jochen & Puls, Thomas & Schaefer, Thilo & Schäfer, Holger, 2023. "Kein Aufschwung in Sicht: IW-Konjunkturprognose Frühjahr 2023," IW-Reports 19/2023, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:iwkrep:192023
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Konjunktur; Weltwirtschaft; Arbeitsmarkt; Staatshaushalt; Finanzmärkte;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E2 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment
    • E3 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit
    • E6 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook

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