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Erholung mit vielen Fragezeichen

Author

Listed:
  • Demary, Markus
  • Grömling, Michael
  • Henger, Ralph
  • Hentze, Tobias
  • Obst, Thomas
  • Pimpertz, Jochen
  • Puls, Thomas
  • Schäfer, Holger
  • Seele, Stefanie
  • Sultan, Samina

Abstract

Das gute erste Halbjahr infolge steigender Exporte und hoher staatlicher Impulse bewirkt ein Plus beim realen Bruttoinlandsprodukt in Deutschland im Jahr 2026 von knapp 1,2 Prozent. Die Dynamik lässt jedoch wieder nach. Sondereffekte beim Export laufen aus, der private Konsum leidet unter hohen Energiepreisen und rückläufiger Beschäftigung, die privaten Investitionen verharren im Vorsichtsmodus. Obwohl die Beschäftigung deutlich sinkt, bleibt die Arbeitslosenquote bei 6,3 Prozent. Das Staatsdefizit steigt auf 4 Prozent.

Suggested Citation

  • Demary, Markus & Grömling, Michael & Henger, Ralph & Hentze, Tobias & Obst, Thomas & Pimpertz, Jochen & Puls, Thomas & Schäfer, Holger & Seele, Stefanie & Sultan, Samina, 2026. "Erholung mit vielen Fragezeichen," IW-Kurzberichte 64/2026, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:iwkkur:344124
    DOI: 10.67087/19.21571
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