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VIVER - Vision für nachhaltigen Verkehr in Deutschland


  • Schade, Wolfgang
  • Peters, Anja
  • Doll, Claus
  • Klug, Stefan
  • Köhler, Jonathan
  • Krail, Michael


VIVER (Leben) - Vision für nachhaltigen Verkehr in Deutschland ist ein Eigenforschungsprojekt des Fraunhofer ISI, initiiert durch das Geschäftsfeld Verkehrssysteme. Ziel des Projektes war es eine anschauliche Vision für nachhaltigen Verkehr in Deutschland für das Jahr 2050 zu entwerfen. Dabei wurde bewusst ausschließlich die interdisziplinäre Expertise des Fraunhofer ISI genutzt. Im Ergebnis wird deutlich, dass nachhaltiger Verkehr in Deutschland sich nur durch die passfähige Kombination von technologischem Wandel und Verhaltensänderung erreichen lässt. In einem nachhaltigen Verkehrssystem werden der Personen- und Güterverkehr nicht bis 2050 weiter wachsen, sondern sich in den nächsten Dekaden stabilisieren - der Personenverkehr früher als der Güterverkehr - und der Personenverkehr wird in den letzten Dekaden sogar deutlich zurückgehen. Dieser Trendbruch von stetig wachsender Verkehrsnachfrage hin zu Stagnation und Rückgang lässt sich vor allem auf Verhaltensänderungen und strukturelle Veränderungen in Produktions- und Globalisierungsprozessen (d.h. letztendlich auf Verhaltensänderungen der Unternehmen) zurückführen. Diese Veränderungen lassen sich zum einen durch einen Wertewandel in der Gesellschaft (z.B. hin zu einer hohen Bedeutung von Klimaschutz und Lebensqualität) und zum anderen durch veränderte Rahmenbedingungen (z.B. durch eine verstärkte Knappheit fossiler Energieträger) sowie politische Strategien (z.B. an Umweltaspekten ausgerichtete Verkehrssteuern, Nutzergebühren und Stadtplanung) begründen.

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  • Schade, Wolfgang & Peters, Anja & Doll, Claus & Klug, Stefan & Köhler, Jonathan & Krail, Michael, 2011. "VIVER - Vision für nachhaltigen Verkehr in Deutschland," Working Papers "Sustainability and Innovation" S3/2011, Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research (ISI).
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:fisisi:s32011

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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Nachhaltigkeit; Mobilität; Verkehr; Vision; Deutschland; 2030; 2050;

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