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Povijesni razvoj i primjene koncepata potencijalne proizvodnje i jaza dohotka

Author

Listed:
  • Viktor Viljevac

    (Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb)

Abstract

U ovom radu se daje pregled povijesnog razvoja koncepta potencijalnog bruto domaćeg proizvoda i jaza dohotka. U radu Arthura Okuna iz 1962. godine potencijalna proizvodnja definirana je kao ona razina proizvodnje koja se ostvaruje kada je stopa nezaposlenosti na svom povijesnom minimumu. Ta je definicija u skladu s idejom da ekonomska politika treba biti usmjerena na postizanje onih uvjeta na tržištu rada koji su ostvareni, povijesno gledano, u najprosperitetnijim godinama što se tiče stope nezaposlenosti ili broja zaposlenih. S druge strane, iskustvo Sjedinjenih Američkih Država i akademske rasprave pokazali su da nastojanje da se stopa nezaposlenosti trajno zadrži na povijesno najnižoj razini može rezultirati rastom inflacije iz razdoblja u razdoblje i trajno povišenom inflacijom. Kao kritičari prvotnog koncepta potencijalnog BDP-a ističu se Milton Friedman i Edmund Phelps. Koncept potencijalnog BDP-a, zajedno s konceptom jaza dohotka, tijekom desetljeća je redefiniran te se danas gotovo isključivo veže uz onu razinu proizvodnje koja je „održiva“ u kontekstu postizanja cilja stabilnosti cijena. U ovom se radu analiziraju i prate povijesni razvoj koncepta potencijalnog BDP-a i povezane rasprave o ekonomskoj politici.

Suggested Citation

  • Viktor Viljevac, 2025. "Povijesni razvoj i primjene koncepata potencijalne proizvodnje i jaza dohotka," EFZG Working Papers Series 2505, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb.
  • Handle: RePEc:zag:wpaper:2505
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • B20 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - History of Economic Thought since 1925 - - - General
    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
    • J30 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - General

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