Empirical Contributions to Optionpricing analyzing Black and Scholes and other Models
By analyzing fictitious options - a unique approach - significant mispricing due to the formula of Black and Scholes can be shown systematically and independent from market distortion. Even options based on fictitious, lognormally distributed courses are not valued properly. According to the Law of Large Numbers pricing models based on time distibutions should be applied to strategies rather than to single option prices. The discontinuity of autocorrelation (Stalagmites Effect) has impact on forecasting models. The current impact of volatility - there is no - on option pricing is not justified.
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