Optimal Experimentation in a Changing Environment
This paper studies optimal experimentation by a monopolist who faces an unknown demand curve subject to random changes, and who maximises profits over an infinite horizon in continuous time. We show that there are two qualitatively very different regimes, determined by the discount rate and the intensities of demand curve switching, and the dependence of the optimal policy on these parameters is discontinuous. One regime is characterised by extreme experimentation and good tracking of the prevailing demand curve, the other by moderate experimentation and poor tracking. Moreover, in the latter regime the agent eventually becomes `trapped' into taking actions in a strict subset of the feasible set.
|Date of creation:||20 Jan 1998|
|Date of revision:|
|Note:||Type of Document - PDF; pages: 57 ; figures: included|
|Contact details of provider:|| Web page: http://188.8.131.52 |
When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpga:9801001. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (EconWPA)
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.