IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/wop/safiwp/02-02-009.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Optimal Design, Robustness, and Risk Aversion

Author

Listed:
  • M. E. J. Newman
  • Michelle Girvan
  • J. Doyne Farmer

Abstract

Highly optimized tolerance is a model of optimization in engineered systems, which gives rise to power-law distributions of failure events in such systems. The archetypal example is the highly optimized forest fire model. Here we give an analytic solution for this model which explains the origin of the power laws. We also generalize the model to incorporate risk aversion, which results in truncation of the tails of the power law so that the probability of disastrously large events is dramatically lowered, giving the system more robustness.

Suggested Citation

  • M. E. J. Newman & Michelle Girvan & J. Doyne Farmer, 2002. "Optimal Design, Robustness, and Risk Aversion," Working Papers 02-02-009, Santa Fe Institute.
  • Handle: RePEc:wop:safiwp:02-02-009
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    To our knowledge, this item is not available for download. To find whether it is available, there are three options:
    1. Check below whether another version of this item is available online.
    2. Check on the provider's web page whether it is in fact available.
    3. Perform a search for a similarly titled item that would be available.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Kenneth T. Bogen & Edwin D. Jones, 2006. "Risks of Mortality and Morbidity from Worldwide Terrorism: 1968–2004," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 26(1), pages 45-59, February.
    2. Hüser, Christian, 2006. "Robustness - a challenge also for the 21st century: A review of robustness phenomena in technical, biological and social systems as well as robust approaches in engineering, computer science, operatio," UFZ Discussion Papers 2/2006, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research (UFZ), Division of Social Sciences (ÖKUS).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wop:safiwp:02-02-009. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Thomas Krichel (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/epstfus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.