IDEAS home Printed from
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Fertility and Education Premiums


  • Carol Scotese

    (Department of Economics, VCU School of Business)


This paper examines households’ fertility variations in response to expected permanent shifts in the returns to education. Wage premiums are used to measure the returns to education because their longrun movements are driven largely by factors exogenous to the fertility process. Drawing households from the NLS mature and younger women cohorts yields a cross-section of households (women) with time-series variation in their childbearing years and who differ in their expectations of future wage premiums. The results indicate that for high education parents, an increase in the expected return to college is associated with lower fertility while an increase in the expected return to high school is associated with higher fertility. On the other hand, low education parents tend to be unresponsive to swings in the expected returns to either a college or high school education. These results can be consistently interpreted within a standard quality/quantity model of endogenous fertility.

Suggested Citation

  • Carol Scotese, 2002. "Fertility and Education Premiums," Working Papers 0201, VCU School of Business, Department of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:vcu:wpaper:0201

    Download full text from publisher

    To our knowledge, this item is not available for download. To find whether it is available, there are three options:
    1. Check below whether another version of this item is available online.
    2. Check on the provider's web page whether it is in fact available.
    3. Perform a search for a similarly titled item that would be available.

    Other versions of this item:


    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.

    Cited by:

    1. Niccolò Innocenti & Daniele Vignoli & Luciana Lazzeretti, 2021. "Economic complexity and fertility: insights from a low fertility country," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(8), pages 1388-1402, August.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
    • N30 - Economic History - - Labor and Consumers, Demography, Education, Health, Welfare, Income, Wealth, Religion, and Philanthropy - - - General, International, or Comparative


    Access and download statistics


    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:vcu:wpaper:0201. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Oleg Korenok (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.