The Dynamics of New Resource Projects a Progress Report
In its widely-cited Investment Monitor, Access Economics publishes quarterly detailed information on most Australian investment projects that cost more than $5m, including a classification of projects as “possible”, “under consideration”, “committed”, “under construction”, “deleted” or “completed”. We use these rich data to show that the evolution of projects can be conveniently understood in terms of a Markov chain. This framework provides several useful summary measures of the investment system as a whole, including estimates of the probability of a project moving from one state to another over multi-period horizons, likely bottlenecks in the system, the mean time spent in each state, the expected time taken for a project to enter a certain state such as “under construction” or “completed” and the possible implications of “speeding up” the system by regulatory reform. These measures could be of value to project proponents, capital markets and policy makers.
|Date of creation:||2010|
|Contact details of provider:|| Postal: 35 Stirling Highway, Crawley, W.A. 6009|
Phone: (08) 9380 2918
Fax: (08) 9380 1016
Web page: http://www.business.uwa.edu.au/school/disciplines/economics
More information through EDIRC
When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:uwa:wpaper:10-05. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Verity Chia)
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.
If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.